PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Empoli 0–1 Roma · Serie A

Empoli

LLLLD
0–1Historical match

Roma

DWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 0–1.

Shots
316
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
0.112
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Empoli 1–0. Recorded in this match (Empoli – Roma): shots 3–16, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 0.11–2, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.14 shots/match ▲ShotsEmpoli · Roma14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEmpoliRomaBaseline
Shots9.14 shots/match14.1 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.4%PossessionEmpoli · Roma● 55.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEmpoliRomaBaseline
Possession40.4%55.8%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots16 shotsEmpoli 3 shots, Roma 16 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shotsEmpoli 1 shot, Roma 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.11 xG2 xGEmpoli 0.11 xG, Roma 2 xG
  • Possession36%64%Empoli 36%, Roma 64%
  • Corners1 corner9 cornersEmpoli 1 corner, Roma 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsEmpoli 12 fouls, Roma 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Leandro Paredes · Roma · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetManu Koné · Roma · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAngeliño · Roma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Empoli · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMattia De Sciglio · Empoli · 7′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVictor Nelsson · Roma · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Roma · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Empoli · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Roma · 84′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMatías Soulé · Roma · 1′ · 0.12 xG · goalArtem Dovbyk · Roma · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 22′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Roma · 36′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Roma · 45′ · 0.37 xG · on targetManu Koné · Roma · 39′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.12 xG. Roma: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.02 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Matías Soulé · Roma · 1′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 0.12 xG · Roma 2.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Empoli
0Draws
3Roma
Roma — Empoli · Serie A1–2
Empoli — Roma · Serie A2–1
Roma — Empoli · Serie A7–0
Roma — Empoli · Serie A2–0
Empoli — Roma · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Empoli favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Empoli28 matchesRoma28 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.54 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.07 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.46 xG/match
9.14 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 14.1 shots/match
2.82 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.75 shots/match
40.4%Possession28/28● 55.8%
4.43 corners/match ●Corners28/284.32 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls28/2811 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Mar 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEmpoliRoma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headEmpoli — Roma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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