PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Torino 1–0 Empoli · Serie A

Torino

DLWWD
1–0Historical match

Empoli

LLLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Torino won 1–0.

Shots
1316
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.650.97
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Torino beat Empoli 1–0. Recorded in this match (Torino – Empoli): shots 13–16, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.65–0.97, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Empoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Empoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.79 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots16 shotsTorino 13 shots, Empoli 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsTorino 3 shots, Empoli 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG0.97 xGTorino 0.65 xG, Empoli 0.97 xG
  • Possession51%49%Torino 51%, Empoli 49%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersTorino 5 corners, Empoli 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsTorino 9 fouls, Empoli 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nikola Vlašić · Torino · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Konate · Empoli · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJunior Sambia · Empoli · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLiam Henderson · Empoli · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunior Sambia · Empoli · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunior Sambia · Empoli · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGvidas Gineitis · Torino · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGvidas Gineitis · Torino · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYann Karamoh · Torino · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCristiano Biraghi · Torino · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Empoli · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEljif Elmas · Torino · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Empoli · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiuseppe Pezzella · Empoli · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCristiano Biraghi · Torino · 81′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 20′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSaúl Coco · Torino · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiuseppe Pezzella · Empoli · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGvidas Gineitis · Torino · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Empoli · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Grassi · Empoli · 4′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 70′ · 0.10 xG · goalJunior Sambia · Empoli · 35′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedArdian Ismajli · Empoli · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAdam Masina · Torino · 59′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.64 xG. Empoli: 16 shots, 2 on target, 0.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Nikola Vlašić · Torino · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 0.64 xG · Empoli 0.96 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Torino
2Draws
1Empoli
Empoli — Torino · Serie A0–1
Empoli — Torino · Serie A3–2
Torino — Empoli · Serie A1–0
Empoli — Torino · Serie A2–2
Torino — Empoli · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Empoli in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino29 matchesEmpoli29 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/290.79 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.59 goals/match
0.91 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/290.85 xG/match
9.86 shots/matchShots29/299.38 shots/match
3.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/292.79 shots/match
47.3% ●Possession29/2940.7%
4.03 corners/matchCorners29/29● 4.45 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls29/2914.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Mar 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTorinoEmpoli
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headTorino — Empoli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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