PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Milan 2–1 Como · Serie A

Milan

WLLLW
2–1Historical match

Como

LWWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Milan won 2–1.

Shots
915
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.920.99
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Milan beat Como 2–1. Recorded in this match (Milan – Como): shots 9–15, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.92–0.99, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Como's recent record differs from the season

weak

Como's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsMilan 9 shots, Como 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsMilan 3 shots, Como 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG0.99 xGMilan 0.92 xG, Como 0.99 xG
  • Possession42%58%Milan 42%, Como 58%
  • Corners0 corners5 cornersMilan 0 corners, Como 5 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls7 foulsMilan 21 fouls, Como 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Theo Hernández · Milan · 3′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLucas Da Cunha · Como · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAssane Diao · Como · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Como · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Caqueret · Como · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNico Paz · Como · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Valle · Como · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Giménez · Milan · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChristian Pulišić · Milan · 53′ · 0.06 xG · goalNico Paz · Como · 32′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRafael Leão · Milan · 32′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 33′ · 0.09 xG · goalTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 69′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Cutrone · Como · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 54′ · 0.12 xG · on targetYunus Musah · Milan · 4′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMarc-Oliver Kempf · Como · 44′ · 0.29 xG · on targetTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 75′ · 0.29 xG · goalTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 85′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Milan: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.30 xG. Como: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Christian Pulišić · Milan · 53′Tijjani Reijnders · Milan · 75′Lucas Da Cunha · Como · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Milan 1.30 xG · Como 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Milan
0Draws
0Como
Como — Milan · Serie A1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Milan favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Como in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Milan29 matchesComo29 matches
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.21 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.59 goals/match
1.69 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.13 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots29/2913.3 shots/match
5.41 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/294.62 shots/match
55.2% ●Possession29/2953.6%
5.93 corners/match ●Corners29/294.41 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls29/2913.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Mar 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMilanComo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required