PitchMath
Serie A · 2024Sun, 16 Mar 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Venezia

LLDDD
0–0Full-time recap

Napoli

DDLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVeneziaNapoli
Shots12 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.74 xG/match1.67 xG/match▲
Possession42%58%●
Corners3 corners/match8 corners/match●
Fouls19 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Scott McTominay · Napoli · 41′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIssa Doumbia · Venezia · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeonardo Spinazzola · Napoli · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Venezia · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Venezia · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKike Pérez · Venezia · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Fila · Venezia · 13′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRomelu Lukaku · Napoli · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMatteo Politano · Napoli · 63′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 18′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKike Pérez · Venezia · 42′ · 0.10 xG · on targetHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Venezia · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 49′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 30′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 45′ · 0.14 xG · on targetDaniel Fila · Venezia · 42′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 69′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Napoli · 90′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Venezia: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.74 xG. Napoli: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Venezia 0.74 xG · Napoli 1.69 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Venezia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Venezia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Venezia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.79 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Napoli have a visible away split

moderate

Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Venezia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Venezia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match▲ShotsVenezia · Napoli13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVeneziaNapoliBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match9.62 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Venezia
0Draws
3Napoli
Napoli — Venezia · Serie A1–0
Venezia — Napoli · Serie A0–2
Napoli — Venezia · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Venezia favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Napoli in 11 · 2 too close

0.79 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 29/29▲1.55 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/29▲0.79 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 29/29▲1.45 xG/match
1.59 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 29/29▲0.78 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/29▲13.6 shots/match
14.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 29/29▲9.62 shots/match
3.31 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 29/29▲4.07 shots/match
5.34 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 29/29▲2.79 shots/match
44.4%Possessionseason · 29/29●53.4%
3.69 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/29●5.86 corners/match
6.21 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/29▲3.69 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2910.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/29▲45%
52%Scoring frequencyseason · 29/29▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Venezia12.5
Napoli57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Venezia18.3
Napoli62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Venezia17.5
Napoli94.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Venezia12.5
Napoli57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Venezia57.5
Napoli12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Venezia7.5
Napoli82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Venezia27.5
Napoli52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Venezia29 matchesNapoli29 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲1.55 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲0.79 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲1.45 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots29/29▲13.6 shots/match
3.31 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲4.07 shots/match
44.4%Possession29/29●53.4%
3.69 corners/matchCorners29/29●5.86 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.7 fouls/matchFouls29/2910.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Venezia14 matchesNapoli15 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored14/15▲1.6 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed14/15▲0.87 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals14/151.15 xG/match
11.4 shots/match▲Shots14/1510.5 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target14/153.4 shots/match
47.6%Possession14/15●51.7%
4.07 corners/matchCorners14/15●4.33 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.3 fouls/matchFouls14/1511.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Mar 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsVeneziaNapoli
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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