PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Bologna 5–0 Lazio · Serie A

Bologna

WLWWW
5–0Historical match

Lazio

WDDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 5–0.

Shots
137
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.250.49
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Lazio 5–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Lazio): shots 13–7, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.25–0.49, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.72 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.72 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots7 shotsBologna 13 shots, Lazio 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsBologna 7 shots, Lazio 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.25 xG0.49 xGBologna 2.25 xG, Lazio 0.49 xG
  • Possession52%48%Bologna 52%, Lazio 48%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerBologna 7 corners, Lazio 1 corner
  • Fouls18 fouls16 foulsBologna 18 fouls, Lazio 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Davide Calabria · Bologna · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRemo Freuler · Bologna · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Lazio · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSam Beukema · Bologna · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · Lazio · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · Lazio · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdam Marušić · Lazio · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJuan Miranda · Bologna · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 5′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 48′ · 0.13 xG · goalDan Ndoye · Bologna · 49′ · 0.18 xG · goalNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 90′ · 0.19 xG · on targetGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 84′ · 0.33 xG · goalJens Odgaard · Bologna · 16′ · 0.38 xG · goalSantiago Castro · Bologna · 75′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 13 shots, 7 on target, 2.19 xG. Lazio: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jens Odgaard · Bologna · 16′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 48′Dan Ndoye · Bologna · 49′Santiago Castro · Bologna · 75′Giovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 2.19 xG · Lazio 0.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bologna
1Draws
2Lazio
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A3–0
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A1–2
Bologna — Lazio · Serie A1–0
Bologna — Lazio · Serie A0–0
Lazio — Bologna · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna29 matchesLazio29 matches
1.69 goals/matchGoals scored29/291.72 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.41 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.54 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots29/2913.9 shots/match
4.93 shots/matchShots on target29/295.17 shots/match
58.5% ●Possession29/2954.4%
4.52 corners/matchCorners29/29● 5.93 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls29/2911.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Mar 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBolognaLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headBologna — Lazio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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