PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Udinese 0–1 Hellas Verona · Serie A

Udinese

DWWWD
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hellas Verona won 0–1.

Shots
117
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.530.27
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hellas Verona beat Udinese 1–0. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Hellas Verona): shots 11–7, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.53–0.27, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14 fouls/matchFoulsUdinese · Hellas Verona14.8 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricUdineseHellas VeronaBaseline
Fouls14 fouls/match14.8 fouls/match12.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Udinese have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.6% ●PossessionUdinese · Hellas Verona37.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUdineseHellas VeronaBaseline
Possession47.6%37.6%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots7 shotsUdinese 11 shots, Hellas Verona 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsUdinese 3 shots, Hellas Verona 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.53 xG0.27 xGUdinese 0.53 xG, Hellas Verona 0.27 xG
  • Possession64%36%Udinese 64%, Hellas Verona 36%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerUdinese 2 corners, Hellas Verona 1 corner
  • Fouls21 fouls16 foulsUdinese 21 fouls, Hellas Verona 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Thomas Kristensen · Udinese · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Zemura · Udinese · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Zemura · Udinese · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 72′ · 0.06 xG · goalGrigoris Kastanos · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOumar Solet · Udinese · 15′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGrigoris Kastanos · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 22′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.54 xG. Hellas Verona: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Ondrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 0.54 xG · Hellas Verona 0.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Udinese
3Draws
1Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Udinese · Serie A0–0
Hellas Verona — Udinese · Serie A1–0
Udinese — Hellas Verona · Serie A3–3
Udinese — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–1
Hellas Verona — Udinese · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese29 matchesHellas Verona29 matches
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291 goal/match
1.34 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/292 goals/match
1.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/290.97 xG/match
11.4 shots/match ▲Shots29/2910.1 shots/match
3.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/292.86 shots/match
47.6% ●Possession29/2937.6%
4.79 corners/match ●Corners29/294 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls29/2914.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Mar 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUdineseHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headUdinese — Hellas Verona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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