PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Lazio 1–1 Udinese · Serie A

Lazio

WWDDW
1–1Historical match

Udinese

WDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio and Udinese drew 1–1.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.841.43
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio and Udinese drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Udinese): shots 10–15, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.84–1.43, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLazio · Udinese11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioUdineseBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.11 corners/match ●CornersLazio · Udinese4.89 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLazioUdineseBaseline
Corners6.11 corners/match4.89 corners/match4.43 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsLazio 10 shots, Udinese 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsLazio 5 shots, Udinese 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.84 xG1.43 xGLazio 0.84 xG, Udinese 1.43 xG
  • Possession49%51%Lazio 49%, Udinese 51%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersLazio 4 corners, Udinese 9 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsLazio 9 fouls, Udinese 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hassane Kamara · Udinese · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 21′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMatías Vecino · Lazio · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatías Vecino · Lazio · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Udinese · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdam Marušić · Lazio · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHassane Kamara · Udinese · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Lazio · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Lazio · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJordan Zemura · Udinese · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJordan Zemura · Udinese · 76′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 31′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 22′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 22′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 48′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 22′ · 0.66 xG · goalAlessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 32′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.26 xG. Udinese: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Alessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 32′Florian Thauvin · Udinese · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.26 xG · Udinese 1.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lazio
1Draws
2Udinese
Udinese — Lazio · Serie A2–1
Lazio — Udinese · Serie A1–2
Udinese — Lazio · Serie A1–2
Udinese — Lazio · Serie A0–1
Lazio — Udinese · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio28 matchesUdinese28 matches
1.79 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.25 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.36 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.08 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots28/2811.4 shots/match
5.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.79 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession28/2847%
6.11 corners/match ●Corners28/284.89 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Mar 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioUdinese
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headLazio — Udinese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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