Serie A · 2024

Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus · Serie A

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 3–0.

Shots
911
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.390.85
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Juventus 3–0. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Juventus): shots 9–11, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.39–0.85, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.4%PossessionFiorentina · Juventus● 59.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaJuventusBaseline
Possession49.4%59.1%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsFiorentina 9 shots, Juventus 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsFiorentina 3 shots, Juventus 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.39 xG0.85 xGFiorentina 0.39 xG, Juventus 0.85 xG
  • Possession37%63%Fiorentina 37%, Juventus 63%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersFiorentina 1 corner, Juventus 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsFiorentina 9 fouls, Juventus 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Timothy Weah · Juventus · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDodô · Fiorentina · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · Fiorentina · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 53′ · 0.03 xG · goalMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · Fiorentina · 15′ · 0.08 xG · goalRandal Kolo Muani · Juventus · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRenato Veiga · Juventus · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRandal Kolo Muani · Juventus · 84′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 18′ · 0.12 xG · goalRenato Veiga · Juventus · 51′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNicolás González · Juventus · 43′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 49′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.40 xG. Juventus: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Robin Gosens · Fiorentina · 15′Rolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 18′Albert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 53′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 0.40 xG · Juventus 0.84 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fiorentina
2Draws
3Juventus
Juventus — Fiorentina · Serie A2–2
Juventus — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Fiorentina — Juventus · Serie A0–1
Juventus — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Fiorentina — Juventus · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina29 matchesJuventus29 matches
1.59 goals/matchGoals scored29/291.55 goals/match
1.03 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 0.97 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.39 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 13.6 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 4.93 shots/match
49.4%Possession29/29● 59.1%
4 corners/matchCorners29/29● 4.83 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Mar 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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