PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Atalanta 0–2 Inter · Serie A

0–2Historical match

Inter

WLWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 0–2.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.642.45
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Atalanta 2–0. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Inter): shots 16–14, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.64–2.45, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.24 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsAtalanta 16 shots, Inter 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsAtalanta 3 shots, Inter 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.64 xG2.45 xGAtalanta 0.64 xG, Inter 2.45 xG
  • Possession49%51%Atalanta 49%, Inter 51%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersAtalanta 2 corners, Inter 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsAtalanta 11 fouls, Inter 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Éderson · Atalanta · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Maldini · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Ruggeri · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atalanta · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 80′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 87′ · 0.06 xG · goalCarlos Augusto · Inter · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Atalanta · 33′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 7′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAlessandro Bastoni · Inter · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 85′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 90′ · 0.50 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 7′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 54′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 16 shots, 3 on target, 0.66 xG. Inter: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Carlos Augusto · Inter · 54′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 0.66 xG · Inter 2.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atalanta
0Draws
5Inter
Inter — Atalanta · Serie A4–0
Inter — Atalanta · Serie A4–0
Atalanta — Inter · Serie A1–2
Inter — Atalanta · Serie A3–2
Atalanta — Inter · Serie A2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 5 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta29 matchesInter29 matches
2.17 goals/matchGoals scored29/292.24 goals/match
0.97 goals/matchGoals allowed29/290.93 goals/match
1.79 xG/matchExpected goals29/291.87 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 15.9 shots/match
5.62 shots/matchShots on target29/295.48 shots/match
55.9%Possession29/29● 59.3%
4.76 corners/matchCorners29/29● 6.34 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls29/2911.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Mar 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtalantaInter
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
Head-to-headAtalanta — Inter
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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