PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Parma 1–0 Juventus · Serie A

Parma

DDDDD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Parma won 1–0.

Shots
616
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.60.77
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Parma beat Juventus 1–0. Recorded in this match (Parma – Juventus): shots 6–16, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.6–0.77, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsParma · Juventus13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParmaJuventusBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match10.3 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.8%PossessionParma · Juventus● 59.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParmaJuventusBaseline
Possession44.8%59.2%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots16 shotsParma 6 shots, Juventus 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsParma 3 shots, Juventus 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.6 xG0.77 xGParma 0.6 xG, Juventus 0.77 xG
  • Possession34%66%Parma 34%, Juventus 66%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersParma 4 corners, Juventus 9 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsParma 9 fouls, Juventus 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mateo Pellegrino · Parma · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRandal Kolo Muani · Juventus · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLloyd Kelly · Juventus · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Juventus · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHernani · Parma · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRandal Kolo Muani · Juventus · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 39′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Parma · 60′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMateo Pellegrino · Parma · 45′ · 0.12 xG · goalDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 19′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Parma · 28′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Parma: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.62 xG. Juventus: 16 shots, 2 on target, 0.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Mateo Pellegrino · Parma · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Parma 0.62 xG · Juventus 0.80 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Parma
1Draws
0Juventus
Juventus — Parma · Serie A2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma33 matchesJuventus33 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.34 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 5 shots/match
44.8%Possession33/33● 59.2%
4.64 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5.03 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 23 Apr 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParmaJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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