PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Real Betis 2–1 Osasuna · La Liga

2–1Historical match

Osasuna

DLWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Betis won 2–1.

Shots
97
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.230.4
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Betis beat Osasuna 2–1. Recorded in this match (Real Betis – Osasuna): shots 9–7, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.23–0.4, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots7 shotsReal Betis 9 shots, Osasuna 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotReal Betis 2 shots, Osasuna 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.23 xG0.4 xGReal Betis 1.23 xG, Osasuna 0.4 xG
  • Possession50%50%Real Betis 50%, Osasuna 50%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersReal Betis 6 corners, Osasuna 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls25 foulsReal Betis 10 fouls, Osasuna 25 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marc Roca · Real Betis · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Real Betis · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuido Rodríguez · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid García · Osasuna · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalMarc Roca · Real Betis · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWillian José · Real Betis · 36′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 85′ · 0.23 xG · goalWillian José · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.29 xG · goalIsco · Real Betis · 40′ · 0.62 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.27 xG. Osasuna: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Willian José · Real Betis · 45′Isco · Real Betis · 90′Rubén García · Osasuna · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 1.27 xG · Osasuna 0.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Real Betis
0Draws
1Osasuna
Osasuna — Real Betis · La Liga3–2
Real Betis — Osasuna · La Liga1–0
Real Betis — Osasuna · La Liga4–1
Osasuna — Real Betis · La Liga1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Betis favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Betis11 matchesOsasuna11 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.09 goals/match
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.45 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.08 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots11/1110.9 shots/match
3.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.18 shots/match
52.7% ●Possession11/1147.5%
5.09 corners/match ●Corners11/114.09 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal BetisOsasuna
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headReal Betis — Osasuna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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