PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

Osasuna

DLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal BetisOsasuna
Shots9 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals1.23 xG/match▲0.4 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners6 corners/match●3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match25 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Marc Roca · Real Betis · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Real Betis · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuido Rodríguez · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid García · Osasuna · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalMarc Roca · Real Betis · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWillian José · Real Betis · 36′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 85′ · 0.23 xG · goalWillian José · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.29 xG · goalIsco · Real Betis · 40′ · 0.62 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.27 xG. Osasuna: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Willian José · Real Betis · 45′Isco · Real Betis · 90′Rubén García · Osasuna · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 1.27 xG · Osasuna 0.42 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Real Betis
0Draws
1Osasuna
Osasuna — Real Betis · La Liga3–2
Real Betis — Osasuna · La Liga1–0
Real Betis — Osasuna · La Liga4–1
Osasuna — Real Betis · La Liga1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Osasuna in 3 · 4 too close

1.27 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/111.09 goals/match
1.36 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.45 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/111.08 xG/match
1.29 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 11/111.44 xG/match
12.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1110.9 shots/match
12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1112.1 shots/match
3.64 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.18 shots/match
4.18 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲3.64 shots/match
52.7%●Possessionseason · 11/1147.5%
5.09 corners/match●Cornersseason · 11/114.09 corners/match
5.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲5 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1112.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/11▲36%
82%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1164%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis62.5
Osasuna32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis40.8
Osasuna19.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis53.3
Osasuna60.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis37.5
Osasuna22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis27.5
Osasuna37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis67.5
Osasuna22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis41.2
Osasuna23.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Betis11 matchesOsasuna11 matches
1.27 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.09 goals/match
1.36 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.45 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.08 xG/match
12.5 shots/match▲Shots11/1110.9 shots/match
3.64 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.18 shots/match
52.7%●Possession11/1147.5%
5.09 corners/match●Corners11/114.09 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Betis5 matchesOsasuna6 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/6▲1.5 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/61.67 goals/match
1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals5/60.88 xG/match
14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/68.33 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/62.5 shots/match
55.6%●Possession5/645.7%
5.2 corners/match●Corners5/62.83 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/613.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.95 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.75 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal BetisOsasuna
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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