PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Valencia 1–1 Barcelona · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia and Barcelona drew 1–1.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
0.543.24
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia and Barcelona drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Barcelona): shots 11–16, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 0.54–3.24, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

45%PossessionValencia · Barcelona● 65.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricValenciaBarcelonaBaseline
Possession45%65.2%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.82 shots/match ▲ShotsValencia · Barcelona16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricValenciaBarcelonaBaseline
Shots9.82 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against9.94 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shotsValencia 11 shots, Barcelona 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsValencia 4 shots, Barcelona 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.54 xG3.24 xGValencia 0.54 xG, Barcelona 3.24 xG
  • Possession36%64%Valencia 36%, Barcelona 64%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersValencia 4 corners, Barcelona 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsValencia 9 fouls, Barcelona 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 18′ · 0.01 xG · on targetThierry Correia · Valencia · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Mosquera · Valencia · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMouctar Diakhaby · Valencia · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 67′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlejandro Balde · Barcelona · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoman Yaremchuk · Valencia · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRonald Araújo · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPepelu · Valencia · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Guillamón · Valencia · 70′ · 0.05 xG · goalRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHugo Duro · Valencia · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 28′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPedri · Barcelona · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRoman Yaremchuk · Valencia · 2′ · 0.17 xG · on targetJoão Félix · Barcelona · 58′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Barcelona · 52′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 22′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 35′ · 0.33 xG · on targetFerran Torres · Barcelona · 73′ · 0.35 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 82′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 82′ · 0.45 xG · on targetJoão Félix · Barcelona · 55′ · 0.93 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.55 xG. Barcelona: 16 shots, 7 on target, 3.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Hugo Guillamón · Valencia · 70′João Félix · Barcelona · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 0.55 xG · Barcelona 3.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Valencia
0Draws
4Barcelona
Barcelona — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Valencia — Barcelona · La Liga0–1
Valencia — Barcelona · La Liga1–4
Barcelona — Valencia · La Liga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Barcelona in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia17 matchesBarcelona17 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.82 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 2.23 xG/match
9.82 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 16.2 shots/match
3.35 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 6.29 shots/match
45%Possession17/17● 65.2%
3.24 corners/matchCorners17/17● 6 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1711 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsValenciaBarcelona
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headValencia — Barcelona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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