La Liga · 2023Wed, 20 Dec 2023, 20:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Athletic Club

WDWDW

1–0Full-time recap

Las Palmas

DLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Las Palmas
Shots	19 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	10 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	3.56 xG/match▲	0.33 xG/match
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	5 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 19 shots, 9 on target, 3.64 xG. Las Palmas: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 3.64 xG · Las Palmas 0.33 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Las Palmas. A second useful context is: Las Palmas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Las Palmas.

4.22 days▲Rest daysAthletic Club · Las Palmas3.12 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Athletic Club	Las Palmas	Baseline
Rest days	4.22 days	3.12 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Las Palmas show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Las Palmas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsAthletic Club · Las Palmas10.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Athletic Club	Las Palmas	Baseline
Shots	14.2 shots/match	10.1 shots/match	12.6 shots/match
Shots against	10.6 shots/match	12.7 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.2%PossessionAthletic Club · Las Palmas●59%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Athletic Club	Las Palmas	Baseline
Possession	50.2%	59%	48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 1 · 2 too close

1.89 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 18/180.83 goals/match

1.06 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 18/18▲0.83 goals/match

1.87 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 18/180.85 xG/match

1.02 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 18/181.38 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 18/1810.1 shots/match

10.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 18/1812.7 shots/match

5.56 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 18/183.22 shots/match

4.22 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 18/184.72 shots/match

50.2%Possessionseason · 18/18●59%

5.72 corners/match●Cornersseason · 18/183.94 corners/match

3.72 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 18/186.06 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1811 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

44%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1822%

78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 18/1856%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club57.5

Las Palmas92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club83.3

Las Palmas12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club75

Las Palmas52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club77.5

Las Palmas2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club67.5

Las Palmas12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club80

Las Palmas17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club79.4

Las Palmas12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club18 matchesLas Palmas18 matches

1.89 goals/match▲Goals scored18/180.83 goals/match

1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲0.83 goals/match

1.87 xG/match▲Expected goals18/180.85 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots18/1810.1 shots/match

5.56 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.22 shots/match

50.2%Possession18/18●59%

5.72 corners/match●Corners18/183.94 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1811 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club10 matchesLas Palmas10 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.6 goals/match

1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match

2.26 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.72 xG/match

14.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1010 shots/match

6.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.6 shots/match

52%Possession10/10●55.9%

6 corners/match●Corners10/103.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.22 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.12 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples18 / 18home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 21 Dec 2023, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4