PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Thu, 21 Dec 2023, 18:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal BetisGirona FC
Shots21 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.55 xG/match1.7 xG/match▲
Possession48%52%●
Corners7 corners/match●6 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Yan Couto · Girona FC · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPablo Torre · Girona FC · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAitor Ruibal · Real Betis · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodri Sánchez · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Gutiérrez · Girona FC · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarc Roca · Real Betis · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWillian José · Real Betis · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergi Altimira · Real Betis · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergi Altimira · Real Betis · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWillian José · Real Betis · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetWilliam Carvalho · Real Betis · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSavinho · Girona FC · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Real Betis · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAitor Ruibal · Real Betis · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGermán Pezzella · Real Betis · 88′ · 0.03 xG · goalDavid López · Girona FC · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEric García · Girona FC · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Real Betis · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJhon Solís · Girona FC · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Real Betis · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRodri Sánchez · Real Betis · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Carvalho · Real Betis · 88′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDaley Blind · Girona FC · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Girona FC · 23′ · 0.16 xG · on targetChadi Riad · Real Betis · 88′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 20′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 26′ · 0.23 xG · on targetAssane Diao · Real Betis · 25′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 90′ · 0.44 xG · on targetArtem Dovbyk · Girona FC · 39′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 21 shots, 4 on target, 1.60 xG. Girona FC: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Germán Pezzella · Real Betis · 88′Artem Dovbyk · Girona FC · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 1.60 xG · Girona FC 1.71 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Girona FC. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Girona FC.

4.11 days▲Rest daysReal Betis · Girona FC2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal BetisGirona FCBaseline
Rest days4.11 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Real Betis have a visible home split

moderate

Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Real Betis
0Draws
0Girona FC
Girona FC — Real Betis · La Liga1–2
Real Betis — Girona FC · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Girona FC in 5 · 3 too close

1.11 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 18/18▲2.33 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 18/181.17 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 18/18▲1.9 xG/match
1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 18/181.42 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 18/1813.2 shots/match
12.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 18/1814.1 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 18/18▲4.94 shots/match
4.06 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 18/184.44 shots/match
48.9%Possessionseason · 18/18●57.7%
5.61 corners/match●Cornersseason · 18/184.56 corners/match
5.28 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/18▲4.56 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1811.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
39%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1828%
78%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/18▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis52.5
Girona FC82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis51.7
Girona FC79.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis67.5
Girona FC41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis62.5
Girona FC27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis22.5
Girona FC27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis72.5
Girona FC52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis51.2
Girona FC55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Betis18 matchesGirona FC18 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲2.33 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.17 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲1.9 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots18/1813.2 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲4.94 shots/match
48.9%Possession18/18●57.7%
5.61 corners/match●Corners18/184.56 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Betis9 matchesGirona FC9 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲2.33 goals/match
0.44 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.22 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲2.19 xG/match
15.8 shots/match▲Shots9/913.4 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.78 shots/match
51%Possession9/9●53.7%
5.89 corners/match●Corners9/94.67 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.4 fouls/matchFouls9/912.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.92 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 21 Dec 2023, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal BetisGirona FC
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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