PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sun, 17 Dec 2023, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadReal Betis
Shots12 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.06 xG/match1.11 xG/match▲
Possession57%●43%
Corners2 corners/match7 corners/match●
Fouls12 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Arsen Zakharyan · Real Sociedad · 17′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAitor Ruibal · Real Betis · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAitor Ruibal · Real Betis · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIgor Zubeldia · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArsen Zakharyan · Real Sociedad · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarc Roca · Real Betis · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetArsen Zakharyan · Real Sociedad · 13′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRodri Sánchez · Real Betis · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBeñat Turrientes · Real Sociedad · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 21′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAitor Ruibal · Real Betis · 24′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChadi Riad · Real Betis · 22′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAyoze Pérez · Real Betis · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 7′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMartín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 33′ · 0.11 xG · on targetTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 89′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAssane Diao · Real Betis · 75′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedGermán Pezzella · Real Betis · 60′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedWillian José · Real Betis · 30′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedJon Ander Olasagasti · Real Sociedad · 89′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Sociedad: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.06 xG. Real Betis: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 1.06 xG · Real Betis 1.11 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible away split

moderate

Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Sociedad
2Draws
2Real Betis
Real Betis — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–0
Real Sociedad — Real Betis · La Liga0–2
Real Sociedad — Real Betis · La Liga0–0
Real Betis — Real Sociedad · La Liga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 3 · 5 too close

1.71 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 17/171.12 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/17▲1 goals/match
1.37 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 17/171.2 xG/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 17/171.22 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/1712.8 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/1712.7 shots/match
4.41 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 17/173.88 shots/match
4.35 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/17▲4.06 shots/match
54.5%●Possessionseason · 17/1749%
4.41 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/17●5.53 corners/match
3.82 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 17/175.24 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
16.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1711.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
35%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/17▲41%
82%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1776%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad72.5
Real Betis52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad57.5
Real Betis42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad57.5
Real Betis63.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad22.5
Real Betis57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad92.5
Real Betis22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad42.5
Real Betis72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad58.8
Real Betis44.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad17 matchesReal Betis17 matches
1.71 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.12 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲1 goals/match
1.37 xG/match▲Expected goals17/171.2 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots17/1712.8 shots/match
4.41 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.88 shots/match
54.5%●Possession17/1749%
4.41 corners/matchCorners17/17●5.53 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
16.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad9 matchesReal Betis9 matches
1.89 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match
1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
1.29 xG/match▲Expected goals9/90.97 xG/match
12.1 shots/match▲Shots9/910.7 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.33 shots/match
54.2%●Possession9/946.9%
4.22 corners/matchCorners9/9●5.33 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
16.2 fouls/matchFouls9/911.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Dec 2023, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal SociedadReal Betis
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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