La Liga · 2023

Osasuna 1–0 Almería · La Liga

Osasuna

LDDWL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Osasuna won 1–0.

Shots
144
Shots on target
20
Expected goals
1.270.21
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Osasuna beat Almería 1–0. Recorded in this match (Osasuna – Almería): shots 14–4, shots on target 2–0, expected goals 1.27–0.21, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Almería's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Almería's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Almería have a visible away split

moderate

Almería's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots4 shotsOsasuna 14 shots, Almería 4 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots0 shotsOsasuna 2 shots, Almería 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG0.21 xGOsasuna 1.27 xG, Almería 0.21 xG
  • Possession52%48%Osasuna 52%, Almería 48%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersOsasuna 5 corners, Almería 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls5 foulsOsasuna 14 fouls, Almería 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Chimy Ávila · Osasuna · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Robertone · Almería · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Almería · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Almería · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 57′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarc Pubill · Almería · 55′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Catena · Osasuna · 22′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Catena · Osasuna · 24′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 39′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 27′ · 0.21 xG · goalJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 85′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.25 xG. Almería: 4 shots, 0 on target, 0.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 27′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 1.25 xG · Almería 0.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Osasuna
0Draws
0Almería
Osasuna — Almería · La Liga3–1
Almería — Osasuna · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Osasuna favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Almería in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Osasuna19 matchesAlmería19 matches
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191 goal/match
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/192.26 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.32 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 12.3 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 4.32 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession19/1947.7%
4.11 corners/matchCorners19/19● 4.95 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 4 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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