PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Athletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 2–1.

Shots
109
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.621.29
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat Real Sociedad 2–1. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Real Sociedad): shots 10–9, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.62–1.29, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.55 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsAthletic Club 10 shots, Real Sociedad 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotAthletic Club 3 shots, Real Sociedad 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.62 xG1.29 xGAthletic Club 1.62 xG, Real Sociedad 1.29 xG
  • Possession49%51%Athletic Club 49%, Real Sociedad 51%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersAthletic Club 5 corners, Real Sociedad 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls21 foulsAthletic Club 16 fouls, Real Sociedad 21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yuri Berchiche · Athletic Club · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJon Magunazelaia · Real Sociedad · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAitor Paredes · Athletic Club · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArsen Zakharyan · Real Sociedad · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArsen Zakharyan · Real Sociedad · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIgor Zubeldia · Real Sociedad · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJon Ander Olasagasti · Real Sociedad · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAritz Elustondo · Real Sociedad · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 42′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMikel Vesga · Athletic Club · 21′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAihen Muñoz · Real Sociedad · 88′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 42′ · 0.23 xG · goalMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 88′ · 0.83 xG · goalÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 30′ · 0.99 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Athletic Club: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.68 xG. Real Sociedad: 9 shots, 1 on target, 1.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Álex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 30′Álex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 42′Mikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 1.68 xG · Real Sociedad 1.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Athletic Club
1Draws
2Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Athletic Club · La Liga3–0
Athletic Club — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–0
Real Sociedad — Athletic Club · La Liga3–1
Athletic Club — Real Sociedad · La Liga4–0
Real Sociedad — Athletic Club · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club20 matchesReal Sociedad20 matches
1.9 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.55 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed20/201.05 goals/match
1.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.32 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots20/2012.3 shots/match
5.45 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/204.15 shots/match
49.6%Possession20/20● 54.6%
5.6 corners/match ●Corners20/204.55 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls20/2016.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Jan 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthletic ClubReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headAthletic Club — Real Sociedad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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