PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Celta Vigo 0–1 Real Sociedad · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Sociedad won 0–1.

Shots
66
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.260.76
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Sociedad beat Celta Vigo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Real Sociedad): shots 6–6, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.26–0.76, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celta Vigo have a visible home split

moderate

Celta Vigo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Sociedad have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.4%PossessionCelta Vigo · Real Sociedad● 54.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoReal SociedadBaseline
Possession44.4%54.4%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots6 shotsCelta Vigo 6 shots, Real Sociedad 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsCelta Vigo 2 shots, Real Sociedad 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.26 xG0.76 xGCelta Vigo 0.26 xG, Real Sociedad 0.76 xG
  • Possession49%51%Celta Vigo 49%, Real Sociedad 51%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersCelta Vigo 6 corners, Real Sociedad 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls18 foulsCelta Vigo 12 fouls, Real Sociedad 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Beñat Turrientes · Real Sociedad · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 11′ · 0.02 xG · goalCarlos Domínguez · Celta Vigo · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca De La Torre · Celta Vigo · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJon Magunazelaia · Real Sociedad · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuca De La Torre · Celta Vigo · 67′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJon Magunazelaia · Real Sociedad · 54′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedUmar Sadiq · Real Sociedad · 22′ · 0.42 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.26 xG. Real Sociedad: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Brais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 11′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 0.26 xG · Real Sociedad 0.74 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Celta Vigo
2Draws
3Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–1
Real Sociedad — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–1
Celta Vigo — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–2
Real Sociedad — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0
Celta Vigo — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo21 matchesReal Sociedad21 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1 goal/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.29 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots21/2112 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target21/214.05 shots/match
44.4%Possession21/21● 54.4%
5.62 corners/match ●Corners21/214.48 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2116.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCelta VigoReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headCelta Vigo — Real Sociedad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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