La Liga · 2023Sat, 27 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMallorcaReal Betis
Shots14 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.46 xG/match0.37 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Antonio Raíllo · Mallorca · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergi Altimira · Real Betis · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuiz Henrique · Real Betis · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNabil Fekir · Real Betis · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergi Altimira · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.03 xG · goalVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNabil Fekir · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodri Sánchez · Real Betis · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDani Rodríguez · Mallorca · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 83′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCyle Larin · Mallorca · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedToni Lato · Mallorca · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedManu Morlanes · Mallorca · 4′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJohnny Cardoso · Real Betis · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAbdón Prats · Mallorca · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 15′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 6′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAbdón Prats · Mallorca · 15′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 37′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAbdón Prats · Mallorca · 82′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 68′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Mallorca: 14 shots, 1 on target, 1.47 xG. Real Betis: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Sergi Altimira · Real Betis · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mallorca 1.47 xG · Real Betis 0.37 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Betis have a visible away split

moderate

Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Betis's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.4 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Mallorca
1Draws
4Real Betis
Real BetisMallorca · La Liga20
Real BetisMallorca · La Liga10
MallorcaReal Betis · La Liga12
Real BetisMallorca · La Liga21
MallorcaReal Betis · La Liga11

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 7 · 4 too close

0.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/221.14 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/221.09 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 22/221.22 xG/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 22/221.37 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/2213.6 shots/match
12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/2212.6 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/223.91 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/223.91 shots/match
44.3%Possessionseason · 22/2249.1%
4.59 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/225.82 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 22/225.14 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
15.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2211.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2241%
55%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2282%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca17.5
Real Betis52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca15.8
Real Betis52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca59.2
Real Betis61.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca47.5
Real Betis82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca77.5
Real Betis17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca62.5
Real Betis82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca43.8
Real Betis53.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Mallorca22 matchesReal Betis22 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.14 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.09 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals22/221.22 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots22/2213.6 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target22/223.91 shots/match
44.3%Possession22/2249.1%
4.59 corners/matchCorners22/225.82 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Mallorca11 matchesReal Betis11 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored11/110.91 goals/match
0.82 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111.45 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals11/110.96 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots11/1110.7 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target11/113.18 shots/match
47.9%Possession11/1148.1%
5.73 corners/matchCorners11/115.36 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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