La Liga · 2023Fri, 9 Feb 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Cádiz

LLLDD
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCádizReal Betis
Shots14 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals0.85 xG/match1.03 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners5 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Rubén Alcaraz · Cádiz · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergi Guardiola · Cádiz · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarc Roca · Real Betis · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarc Roca · Real Betis · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNabil Fekir · Real Betis · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Cádiz · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWillian José · Real Betis · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Pires · Cádiz · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRubén Sobrino · Cádiz · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNabil Fekir · Real Betis · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNabil Fekir · Real Betis · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Fornals · Real Betis · 46′ · 0.04 xG · goalAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGermán Pezzella · Real Betis · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert Navarro · Cádiz · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSergi Guardiola · Cádiz · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGonzalo Escalante · Cádiz · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetChris Ramos · Cádiz · 25′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJuan Miranda · Real Betis · 10′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRobert Navarro · Cádiz · 33′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWillian José · Real Betis · 31′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJuanmi · Cádiz · 66′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJuanmi · Cádiz · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFali · Cádiz · 86′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNabil Fekir · Real Betis · 23′ · 0.12 xG · on targetGonzalo Escalante · Cádiz · 43′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedWillian José · Real Betis · 6′ · 0.16 xG · goalGermán Pezzella · Real Betis · 57′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cádiz: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.82 xG. Real Betis: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Willian José · Real Betis · 6′Pablo Fornals · Real Betis · 46′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cádiz 0.82 xG · Real Betis 1.04 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cádiz's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Cádiz's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Cádiz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cádiz's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cádiz have a visible home split

moderate

Cádiz's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Betis have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.9%PossessionCádiz · Real Betis49.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCádizReal BetisBaseline
Possession40.9%49.3%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Cádiz
3Draws
1Real Betis
Real BetisCádiz · La Liga11
Real BetisCádiz · La Liga02
CádizReal Betis · La Liga00
CádizReal Betis · La Liga12
Real BetisCádiz · La Liga11

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Cádiz favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 11 · 2 too close

0.63 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/241.17 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/241.04 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 24/241.23 xG/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 24/241.35 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/2413.4 shots/match
14.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2412.6 shots/match
2.88 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/243.92 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/243.88 shots/match
40.9%Possessionseason · 24/2449.3%
3.96 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/245.58 corners/match
5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/245.13 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
15.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2411 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2442%
46%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2483%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cádiz2.5
Real Betis52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cádiz4.2
Real Betis57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cádiz20.8
Real Betis65.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cádiz32.5
Real Betis82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cádiz87.5
Real Betis17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cádiz22.5
Real Betis82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cádiz30
Real Betis56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Cádiz24 matchesReal Betis24 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.17 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed24/241.04 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.23 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots24/2413.4 shots/match
2.88 shots/matchShots on target24/243.92 shots/match
40.9%Possession24/2449.3%
3.96 corners/matchCorners24/245.58 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Cádiz12 matchesReal Betis12 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored12/121 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.33 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals12/120.97 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots12/1211 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target12/123.33 shots/match
43.8%Possession12/1248%
4.25 corners/matchCorners12/125.17 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.7 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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