PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Mallorca 2–1 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mallorca won 2–1.

Shots
811
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.911.61
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mallorca beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1. Recorded in this match (Mallorca – Rayo Vallecano): shots 8–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.91–1.61, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible away split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.5 fouls/matchFoulsMallorca · Rayo Vallecano15.5 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMallorcaRayo VallecanoBaseline
Fouls15.5 fouls/match15.5 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots11 shotsMallorca 8 shots, Rayo Vallecano 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsMallorca 5 shots, Rayo Vallecano 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG1.61 xGMallorca 0.91 xG, Rayo Vallecano 1.61 xG
  • Possession49%51%Mallorca 49%, Rayo Vallecano 51%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerMallorca 5 corners, Rayo Vallecano 1 corner
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsMallorca 17 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Isi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sánchez · Mallorca · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 28′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAntonio Raíllo · Mallorca · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedManu Morlanes · Mallorca · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 54′ · 0.07 xG · on targetUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 78′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 2′ · 0.10 xG · on targetVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.19 xG · goalAntonio Sánchez · Mallorca · 48′ · 0.44 xG · goalIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 42′ · 0.63 xG · on targetÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 76′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Mallorca: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.90 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Antonio Sánchez · Mallorca · 48′Vedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 90′Álvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mallorca 0.90 xG · Rayo Vallecano 1.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Mallorca
1Draws
1Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca · La Liga2–2
Mallorca — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–0
Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca · La Liga0–2
Mallorca — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1
Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca · La Liga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mallorca favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mallorca24 matchesRayo Vallecano24 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored24/240.88 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed24/241.33 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.2 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 4.5 shots/match
44.2%Possession24/24● 48.7%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners24/244.29 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2415.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Feb 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMallorcaRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headMallorca — Rayo Vallecano
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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