PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Celta Vigo 1–2 Barcelona · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Barcelona won 1–2.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.751.53
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barcelona beat Celta Vigo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Barcelona): shots 13–14, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.75–1.53, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.6%PossessionCelta Vigo · Barcelona● 65.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoBarcelonaBaseline
Possession43.6%65.1%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Celta Vigo have a visible home split

moderate

Celta Vigo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsCelta Vigo 13 shots, Barcelona 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsCelta Vigo 4 shots, Barcelona 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG1.53 xGCelta Vigo 0.75 xG, Barcelona 1.53 xG
  • Possession34%66%Celta Vigo 34%, Barcelona 66%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersCelta Vigo 2 corners, Barcelona 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsCelta Vigo 11 fouls, Barcelona 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tadeo Allende · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTadeo Allende · Celta Vigo · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoão Cancelo · Barcelona · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCarl Starfelt · Celta Vigo · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRenato Tapia · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMihailo Ristić · Celta Vigo · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Christensen · Barcelona · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMihailo Ristić · Celta Vigo · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJules Koundé · Barcelona · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 10′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuca De La Torre · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJoão Cancelo · Barcelona · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRonald Araújo · Barcelona · 16′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Christensen · Barcelona · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 14′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.10 xG · goalÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.11 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 47′ · 0.11 xG · goalRaphinha · Barcelona · 67′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 11′ · 0.21 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.74 xG. Barcelona: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Iago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 47′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 45′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 0.74 xG · Barcelona 1.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Celta Vigo
1Draws
3Barcelona
Barcelona — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–2
Celta Vigo — Barcelona · La Liga2–1
Barcelona — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0
Barcelona — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–1
Celta Vigo — Barcelona · La Liga3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Barcelona in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo25 matchesBarcelona25 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 2.08 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 2.24 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 16.1 shots/match
4.16 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 6.24 shots/match
43.6%Possession25/25● 65.1%
5.2 corners/matchCorners25/25● 6.4 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2510.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCelta VigoBarcelona
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headCelta Vigo — Barcelona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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