La Liga · 2023Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Valencia

WWLWL

0–0Full-time recap

Sevilla

LLDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Valencia	Sevilla
Shots	14 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.05 xG/match▲	0.04 xG/match
Possession	53%●	47%
Corners	7 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	5 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Valencia: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG. Sevilla: 1 shots, 1 on target, 0.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.02 xG · Sevilla 0.04 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Sevilla's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.16 goals/match	1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sevilla have a visible away split

moderate

Sevilla's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.6 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sevilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.3%PossessionValencia · Sevilla●53.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Valencia	Sevilla	Baseline
Possession	44.3%	53.2%	49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Valencia

2Draws

2Sevilla

11 Aug 2023Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga1–2

16 Apr 2023Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga0–2

18 Oct 2022Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga1–1

19 Jan 2022Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

22 Sept 2021Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 3 · 5 too close

1.16 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/251.2 goals/match

1.16 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 25/251.48 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 25/251.03 xG/match

1.15 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 25/251.49 xG/match

9.56 shots/matchShotsseason · 25/25▲13.8 shots/match

9.44 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 25/2512.6 shots/match

3.36 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 25/25▲4.56 shots/match

3.96 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 25/254.56 shots/match

44.3%Possessionseason · 25/25●53.2%

3.12 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/25●5.36 corners/match

4.72 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/254.76 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2512.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

32%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2520%

68%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/25▲72%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia27.5

Sevilla72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia21.7

Sevilla72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia73.3

Sevilla30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia7.5

Sevilla67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia42.5

Sevilla37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia2.5

Sevilla77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia16.2

Sevilla68.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Valencia25 matchesSevilla25 matches

1.16 goals/matchGoals scored25/251.2 goals/match

1.16 goals/match▲Goals allowed25/251.48 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals25/251.03 xG/match

9.56 shots/matchShots25/25▲13.8 shots/match

3.36 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲4.56 shots/match

44.3%Possession25/25●53.2%

3.12 corners/matchCorners25/25●5.36 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Valencia12 matchesSevilla12 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.08 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.5 goals/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals12/120.72 xG/match

10.5 shots/matchShots12/12▲11.6 shots/match

3.58 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲3.92 shots/match

47.3%Possession12/12●52.6%

3.75 corners/matchCorners12/12●4.42 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples25 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4