La Liga · 2023Sat, 16 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Athletic Club

DWLDW

2–0Full-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

DDDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Deportivo Alavés
Shots	16 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.74 xG/match▲	1.32 xG/match
Possession	60%●	40%
Corners	5 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.73 xG. Deportivo Alavés: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 1.73 xG · Deportivo Alavés 1.35 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	0.9 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.38 corners/match●CornersAthletic Club · Deportivo Alavés5.14 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Athletic Club	Deportivo Alavés	Baseline
Corners	5.38 corners/match	5.14 corners/match	4.6 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Athletic Club

1Draws

0Deportivo Alavés

22 Sept 2023Deportivo Alavés — Athletic Club · La Liga0–2

9 Jan 2022Deportivo Alavés — Athletic Club · La Liga0–0

1 Oct 2021Athletic Club — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 0 · 3 too close

1.72 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 29/290.9 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 29/291.21 goals/match

1.55 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 29/291.23 xG/match

1.01 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 29/291.2 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/2912.4 shots/match

10.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/2911.8 shots/match

4.76 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 29/293.62 shots/match

3.66 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/294 shots/match

49.5%●Possessionseason · 29/2941.8%

5.38 corners/match●Cornersseason · 29/295.14 corners/match

4.14 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 29/294.45 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2912.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

52%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/2924%

72%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2959%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club52.5

Deportivo Alavés2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club76.7

Deportivo Alavés34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club90

Deportivo Alavés63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club62.5

Deportivo Alavés97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club67.5

Deportivo Alavés42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club82.5

Deportivo Alavés72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club75.6

Deportivo Alavés50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club29 matchesDeportivo Alavés29 matches

1.72 goals/match▲Goals scored29/290.9 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed29/291.21 goals/match

1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals29/291.23 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShots29/2912.4 shots/match

4.76 shots/match▲Shots on target29/293.62 shots/match

49.5%●Possession29/2941.8%

5.38 corners/match●Corners29/295.14 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.9 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club15 matchesDeportivo Alavés15 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.73 goals/match

0.93 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.27 goals/match

2 xG/match▲Expected goals15/151.12 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shots15/1511.4 shots/match

6.07 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.67 shots/match

50.8%●Possession15/1541%

5.53 corners/match●Corners15/154.13 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.29 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples29 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Mar 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4