PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Almería 0–3 Osasuna · La Liga

0–3Historical match

Osasuna

WDWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Osasuna won 0–3.

Shots
126
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.841.03
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Osasuna beat Almería 3–0. Recorded in this match (Almería – Osasuna): shots 12–6, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.84–1.03, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Almería's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Almería's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Almería have a visible home split

moderate

Almería's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots6 shotsAlmería 12 shots, Osasuna 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsAlmería 5 shots, Osasuna 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.84 xG1.03 xGAlmería 0.84 xG, Osasuna 1.03 xG
  • Possession51%49%Almería 51%, Osasuna 49%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerAlmería 6 corners, Osasuna 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsAlmería 13 fouls, Osasuna 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marcos Peña · Almería · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Catena · Osasuna · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLéo Baptistão · Almería · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarko Milovanović · Almería · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarc Pubill · Almería · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Almería · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Almería · 88′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLargie Ramazani · Almería · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Almería · 65′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLéo Baptistão · Almería · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJosé Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 2′ · 0.09 xG · goalEdgar González · Almería · 66′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Peña · Almería · 89′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 62′ · 0.14 xG · goalLargie Ramazani · Almería · 53′ · 0.37 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 9′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Almería: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.85 xG. Osasuna: 6 shots, 4 on target, 1.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′José Manuel Arnáiz · Osasuna · 2′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 9′Iker Muñoz · Osasuna · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Almería 0.85 xG · Osasuna 1.06 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Almería
0Draws
3Osasuna
Osasuna — Almería · La Liga1–0
Osasuna — Almería · La Liga3–1
Almería — Osasuna · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Almería favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Almería30 matchesOsasuna30 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.09 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots30/3011.1 shots/match
4.03 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.43 shots/match
45.8%Possession30/30● 47.5%
4.6 corners/match ●Corners30/304.4 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls30/3014.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlmeríaOsasuna
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headAlmería — Osasuna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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