La Liga · 2023Sat, 11 May 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Athletic Club

LDDLW

2–2Full-time recap

Osasuna

WLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Osasuna
Shots	15 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.37 xG/match▲	1.04 xG/match
Possession	67%●	33%
Corners	8 corners/match●	6 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.36 xG. Osasuna: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 1.36 xG · Osasuna 1.00 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.11 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.33 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Athletic Club

1Draws

1Osasuna

19 Aug 2023Osasuna — Athletic Club · La Liga0–2

25 May 2023Osasuna — Athletic Club · La Liga2–0

9 Jan 2023Athletic Club — Osasuna · La Liga0–0

15 May 2022Athletic Club — Osasuna · La Liga2–0

3 Jan 2022Osasuna — Athletic Club · La Liga1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Osasuna in 0 · 3 too close

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 35/351.11 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 35/351.51 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 35/351.08 xG/match

1.12 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 35/351.32 xG/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 35/3511.1 shots/match

10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 35/3511.5 shots/match

4.63 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 35/353.26 shots/match

3.63 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 35/354.11 shots/match

50.2%●Possessionseason · 35/3547.5%

5.6 corners/match●Cornersseason · 35/354.49 corners/match

4.23 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 35/354.57 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3513.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

46%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3529%

74%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3571%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club57.5

Osasuna42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club69.2

Osasuna27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club87.5

Osasuna49.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club52.5

Osasuna22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club67.5

Osasuna72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club82.5

Osasuna42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club71.2

Osasuna38.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club35 matchesOsasuna35 matches

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scored35/351.11 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed35/351.51 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals35/351.08 xG/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shots35/3511.1 shots/match

4.63 shots/match▲Shots on target35/353.26 shots/match

50.2%●Possession35/3547.5%

5.6 corners/match●Corners35/354.49 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFouls35/3513.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club18 matchesOsasuna18 matches

2.22 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181.22 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.61 goals/match

1.86 xG/match▲Expected goals18/180.94 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots18/189.33 shots/match

6.06 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.06 shots/match

52.7%●Possession18/1845.1%

5.83 corners/match●Corners18/183.72 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.29 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples35 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4