La Liga · 2024Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Athletic Club

DLW

0–1Full-time recap

Atlético Madrid

DWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Atlético Madrid
Shots	8 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	2 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.29 xG/match	1.73 xG/match▲
Possession	53%●	47%
Corners	2 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Athletic Club: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.31 xG. Atlético Madrid: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 0.31 xG · Atlético Madrid 1.70 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Athletic Club, Atlético Madrid. A second useful context is: Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Athletic Club, Atlético Madrid.

3 days▲Rest daysAthletic Club · Atlético Madrid2.9 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Athletic Club	Atlético Madrid	Baseline
Rest days	3 days	2.9 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9 shots/match▲ShotsAthletic Club · Atlético Madrid13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Athletic Club	Atlético Madrid	Baseline
Shots	9 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	10.7 shots/match
Shots against	8.25 shots/match	9.5 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Athletic Club

0Draws

3Atlético Madrid

27 Apr 2024Atlético Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga3–1

16 Dec 2023Athletic Club — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–0

19 Feb 2023Atlético Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga1–0

15 Oct 2022Athletic Club — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–1

30 Apr 2022Athletic Club — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 0 · 13 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.5 goals/match

0.76 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.63 xG/match

1.12 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.59 xG/match

9 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/413.5 shots/match

8.25 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/49.5 shots/match

2.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.75 shots/match

2.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/42.25 shots/match

52%●Possessionseason · 4/451.5%

4.5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/43.75 corners/match

4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/49.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/475%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club63.9

Atlético Madrid58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club21.3

Atlético Madrid73.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club81.5

Atlético Madrid88.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club8.3

Atlético Madrid75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club80.6

Atlético Madrid19.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club47.2

Atlético Madrid33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club40.3

Atlético Madrid50.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Athletic Club4 matchesAtlético Madrid4 matches

0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.5 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match

0.76 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.63 xG/match

9 shots/matchShots4/4▲13.5 shots/match

2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.75 shots/match

52%●Possession4/451.5%

4.5 corners/match●Corners4/43.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Athletic Club3 matchesAtlético Madrid2 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

0.67 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

9.33 shots/matchShots3/2—

3 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

57.7%Possession3/2—

4 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match