La Liga · 2024Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 17:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Espanyol

LLD

2–1Full-time recap

Rayo Vallecano

WDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Espanyol	Rayo Vallecano
Shots	10 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.68 xG/match▲	1.29 xG/match
Possession	47%	53%●
Corners	3 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	14 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Espanyol: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.74 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Espanyol 1.74 xG · Rayo Vallecano 1.28 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Espanyol, Rayo Vallecano. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Espanyol, Rayo Vallecano.

2.91 days▲Rest daysEspanyol · Rayo Vallecano3.91 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Espanyol	Rayo Vallecano	Baseline
Rest days	2.91 days	3.91 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Espanyol

0Draws

3Rayo Vallecano

21 May 2023Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol · La Liga1–2

19 Aug 2022Espanyol — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–2

21 Apr 2022Espanyol — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1

5 Dec 2021Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 0 · 13 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match

0.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.25 goals/match

1.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/40.75 xG/match

1.31 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.16 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/410 shots/match

15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/413.8 shots/match

2.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/43.5 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/43 shots/match

43.5%Possessionseason · 4/443.5%

3.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/4●5 corners/match

5.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/418 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

25%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol25

Rayo Vallecano25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol18.5

Rayo Vallecano42.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol48.1

Rayo Vallecano50.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol58.3

Rayo Vallecano52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol41.7

Rayo Vallecano97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol33.3

Rayo Vallecano58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol29.9

Rayo Vallecano58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Espanyol4 matchesRayo Vallecano4 matches

0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.75 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots4/410 shots/match

2.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲3.5 shots/match

43.5%Possession4/443.5%

3.75 corners/matchCorners4/4●5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/418 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Espanyol2 matchesRayo Vallecano3 matches

—Goals scored2/31 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/31 goals/match

—Expected goals2/30.88 xG/match

—Shots2/310.7 shots/match

—Shots on target2/33.33 shots/match

—Possession2/346.3%

—Corners2/34.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/318.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.91 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4