La Liga · 2024Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Valencia

LLL

1–1Full-time recap

Villarreal

DWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Valencia	Villarreal
Shots	22 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.07 xG/match▲	0.51 xG/match
Possession	58%●	42%
Corners	14 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Valencia: 22 shots, 5 on target, 1.08 xG. Villarreal: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.08 xG · Villarreal 0.55 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Valencia, Villarreal. A second useful context is: Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Valencia, Villarreal.

3.1 days▲Rest daysValencia · Villarreal5 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Valencia	Villarreal	Baseline
Rest days	3.1 days	5 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsValencia · Villarreal12.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Valencia	Villarreal	Baseline
Shots	10.8 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	10.7 shots/match
Shots against	11.8 shots/match	16.8 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Valencia

1Draws

3Villarreal

17 Mar 2024Villarreal — Valencia · La Liga1–0

2 Jan 2024Valencia — Villarreal · La Liga3–1

3 May 2023Valencia — Villarreal · La Liga1–1

31 Dec 2022Villarreal — Valencia · La Liga2–1

19 Apr 2022Villarreal — Valencia · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Villarreal in 0 · 13 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42.25 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.75 goals/match

0.77 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.47 xG/match

1.61 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.48 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/412.5 shots/match

11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/416.8 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45 shots/match

4.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/46.25 shots/match

48.5%●Possessionseason · 4/443%

6.75 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/43.5 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/47 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/48.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia41.7

Villarreal13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia38.9

Villarreal78.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia37.1

Villarreal9.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia47.2

Villarreal86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia47.2

Villarreal8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia86.1

Villarreal13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia54.8

Villarreal43

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Valencia4 matchesVillarreal4 matches

0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.25 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.75 goals/match

0.77 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.47 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲12.5 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5 shots/match

48.5%●Possession4/443%

6.75 corners/match●Corners4/43.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/48.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Valencia2 matchesVillarreal2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4