PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Fri, 4 Oct 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLeganésValencia
Shots8 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target0 shots/match1 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.79 xG/match▲0.54 xG/match
Possession59%●41%
Corners1 corners/match2 corners/match●
Fouls15 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

César Tárrega · Valencia · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSeydouba Cisse · Leganés · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cruz · Leganés · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rosier · Leganés · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThierry Correia · Valencia · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSébastien Haller · Leganés · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rosier · Leganés · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 82′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHugo Duro · Valencia · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMiguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDani Gómez · Valencia · 87′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedRoberto López · Leganés · 64′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leganés: 8 shots, 0 on target, 0.78 xG. Valencia: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leganés 0.78 xG · Valencia 0.53 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leganés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Leganés's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Leganés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.56 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match9 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Valencia.

6.2 days▲Rest daysLeganés · Valencia6.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLeganésValenciaBaseline
Rest days6.2 days6.1 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leganés favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 5 · 5 too close

0.56 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/90.56 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/91.44 goals/match
0.69 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 9/90.63 xG/match
1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/91.64 xG/match
8.89 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/99 shots/match
12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲10.8 shots/match
2.22 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲2.56 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲3.56 shots/match
45%●Possessionseason · 9/944.9%
2.78 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/9●5.67 corners/match
5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲4.78 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/911 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲33%
44%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/944%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leganés37.5
Valencia32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leganés6.7
Valencia11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leganés45.8
Valencia52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leganés17.5
Valencia22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leganés77.5
Valencia32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leganés2.5
Valencia72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leganés22.5
Valencia32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leganés9 matchesValencia9 matches
0.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/90.56 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.44 goals/match
0.69 xG/match▲Expected goals9/90.63 xG/match
8.89 shots/matchShots9/99 shots/match
2.22 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲2.56 shots/match
45%●Possession9/944.9%
2.78 corners/matchCorners9/9●5.67 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.6 fouls/matchFouls9/911 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leganés4 matchesValencia5 matches
0.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/50.2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/52 goals/match
0.88 xG/match▲Expected goals4/50.5 xG/match
10.3 shots/match▲Shots4/57 shots/match
2.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/52.2 shots/match
50.3%●Possession4/545.2%
2.25 corners/matchCorners4/5●3.8 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/510.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Oct 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLeganésValencia
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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