La Liga · 2024Mon, 28 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMallorcaAthletic Club
Shots4 shots/match20 shots/match
Shots on target1 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.61 xG/match0.59 xG/match
Possession33%67%
Corners1 corners/match14 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Iñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDani Vivian · Athletic Club · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Djaló · Athletic Club · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Raíllo · Mallorca · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDani Vivian · Athletic Club · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Djaló · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYuri Berchiche · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYeray Álvarez · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNico Williams · Athletic Club · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Djaló · Athletic Club · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNico Williams · Athletic Club · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYuri Berchiche · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnder Herrera · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAitor Paredes · Athletic Club · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 2′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 2′ · 0.30 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Mallorca: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.56 xG. Athletic Club: 20 shots, 1 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Mallorca 0.56 xG · Athletic Club 0.60 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Mallorca
3Draws
1Athletic Club
Athletic ClubMallorca · La Liga40
MallorcaAthletic Club · La Liga00
MallorcaAthletic Club · La Liga11
Athletic ClubMallorca · La Liga00
MallorcaAthletic Club · La Liga32

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Mallorca favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 6 · 3 too close

0.91 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/111.55 goals/match
0.73 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/111 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/111.29 xG/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/111.11 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/1111 shots/match
14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/119.91 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/113.64 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/113.09 shots/match
46%Possessionseason · 11/1147.7%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/115 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/114.91 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1113 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
45%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1127%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1182%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mallorca42.5
Athletic Club47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mallorca40
Athletic Club52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mallorca53.3
Athletic Club75.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mallorca57.5
Athletic Club37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mallorca32.5
Athletic Club67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mallorca60
Athletic Club60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mallorca45.6
Athletic Club51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Mallorca11 matchesAthletic Club11 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.55 goals/match
0.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.29 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots11/1111 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target11/113.64 shots/match
46%Possession11/1147.7%
5 corners/matchCorners11/115 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1113 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Mallorca6 matchesAthletic Club5 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/51.4 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/51.2 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals6/51.64 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots6/512 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/53 shots/match
42.8%Possession6/544.8%
5.83 corners/matchCorners6/56.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls6/512.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.33 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.33 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 29 Oct 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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