La Liga · 2024Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Osasuna

LDDDD

1–2Full-time recap

Athletic Club

WWWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Osasuna	Athletic Club
Shots	6 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.6 xG/match	1.18 xG/match▲
Possession	53%●	47%
Corners	4 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Osasuna: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.59 xG. Athletic Club: 13 shots, 8 on target, 1.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 0.59 xG · Athletic Club 1.17 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Osasuna have a visible home split

strong

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.78 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13 shots/match	9.78 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Osasuna's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.78 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.8 shots/match	9.78 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Osasuna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.78 shots/match▲ShotsOsasuna · Athletic Club11.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Osasuna	Athletic Club	Baseline
Shots	9.78 shots/match	11.7 shots/match	11.4 shots/match
Shots against	11.9 shots/match	8.84 shots/match	11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Osasuna

2Draws

2Athletic Club

11 May 2024Athletic Club — Osasuna · La Liga2–2

19 Aug 2023Osasuna — Athletic Club · La Liga0–2

25 May 2023Osasuna — Athletic Club · La Liga2–0

9 Jan 2023Athletic Club — Osasuna · La Liga0–0

15 May 2022Athletic Club — Osasuna · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 10 · 2 too close

1.28 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 18/19▲1.53 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 18/19▲0.89 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 18/19▲1.38 xG/match

1.38 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 18/19▲0.97 xG/match

9.78 shots/matchShotsseason · 18/19▲11.7 shots/match

11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 18/19▲8.84 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 18/19▲4.05 shots/match

5.11 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 18/19▲3.05 shots/match

45.1%Possessionseason · 18/19●47.7%

4.22 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/19●4.84 corners/match

5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/19▲4.05 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1913.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

28%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1926%

78%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/19▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna27.5

Athletic Club37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna34.2

Athletic Club67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna28.3

Athletic Club84.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna37.5

Athletic Club62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna67.5

Athletic Club72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna37.5

Athletic Club57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna37.5

Athletic Club63.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Osasuna18 matchesAthletic Club19 matches

1.28 goals/matchGoals scored18/19▲1.53 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed18/19▲0.89 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals18/19▲1.38 xG/match

9.78 shots/matchShots18/19▲11.7 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target18/19▲4.05 shots/match

45.1%Possession18/19●47.7%

4.22 corners/matchCorners18/19●4.84 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls18/1913.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Osasuna10 matchesAthletic Club9 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/91.44 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/9▲1.11 goals/match

1.56 xG/match▲Expected goals10/91.33 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots10/912.3 shots/match

4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/93.67 shots/match

47.9%Possession10/9●48.6%

5.3 corners/matchCorners10/9●5.56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/912.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.09 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples18 / 19home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Dec 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4