PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Barcelona 1–2 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 1–2.

Shots
195
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
2.720.63
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Barcelona 2–1. Recorded in this match (Barcelona – Atlético Madrid): shots 19–5, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.72–0.63, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Madrid's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.56 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.56 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBarcelona · Atlético Madrid11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaAtlético MadridBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against8.74 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots5 shotsBarcelona 19 shots, Atlético Madrid 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsBarcelona 7 shots, Atlético Madrid 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.72 xG0.63 xGBarcelona 2.72 xG, Atlético Madrid 0.63 xG
  • Possession63%37%Barcelona 63%, Atlético Madrid 37%
  • Corners11 corners3 cornersBarcelona 11 corners, Atlético Madrid 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsBarcelona 11 fouls, Atlético Madrid 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Clément Lenglet · Atlético Madrid · 53′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIñigo Martínez · Barcelona · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIñigo Martínez · Barcelona · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPedri · Barcelona · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGavi · Barcelona · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 60′ · 0.07 xG · goalPedri · Barcelona · 30′ · 0.10 xG · goalDani Olmo · Barcelona · 80′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 4′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 57′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 77′ · 0.17 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 86′ · 0.20 xG · on targetPedri · Barcelona · 88′ · 0.21 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 57′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedEric García · Barcelona · 84′ · 0.28 xG · on targetFermín López · Barcelona · 48′ · 0.40 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.44 xG · goalRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 76′ · 0.60 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Barcelona: 19 shots, 7 on target, 2.75 xG. Atlético Madrid: 5 shots, 4 on target, 0.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Pedri · Barcelona · 30′Rodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 60′Alexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 2.75 xG · Atlético Madrid 0.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Barcelona
0Draws
0Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Barcelona · La Liga0–3
Barcelona — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–0
Barcelona — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–0
Atlético Madrid — Barcelona · La Liga0–1
Barcelona — Atlético Madrid · La Liga4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Barcelona favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Barcelona19 matchesAtlético Madrid18 matches
2.68 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/181.83 goals/match
1.16 goals/matchGoals allowed19/18▲ 0.67 goals/match
2.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/181.67 xG/match
16.8 shots/match ▲Shots19/1811.9 shots/match
6.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/184.72 shots/match
67.2% ●Possession19/1851.7%
6.05 corners/match ●Corners19/185 corners/match
9.11 fouls/matchFouls19/1811.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBarcelonaAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headBarcelona — Atlético Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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