PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 15 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGirona FCValencia
Shots14 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals0.93 xG/match1.13 xG/match▲
Possession56%●44%
Corners9 corners/match●4 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Dimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 81′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedArthur · Girona FC · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLadislav Krejčí · Girona FC · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDonny van de Beek · Girona FC · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Girona FC · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJavier Guerra · Valencia · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Girona FC · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYáser Asprilla · Girona FC · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJavier Guerra · Valencia · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMouctar Diakhaby · Valencia · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedViktor Tsygankov · Girona FC · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 64′ · 0.04 xG · goalDonny van de Beek · Girona FC · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndré Almeida · Valencia · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCésar Tárrega · Valencia · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLadislav Krejčí · Girona FC · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArnau Martínez · Girona FC · 51′ · 0.08 xG · on targetArnaut Danjuma · Girona FC · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAndré Almeida · Valencia · 19′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 23′ · 0.14 xG · on targetYangel Herrera · Girona FC · 88′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 58′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Girona FC: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.91 xG. Valencia: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Cristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 64′Diego López · Valencia · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Girona FC 0.91 xG · Valencia 1.02 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match10.3 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.57 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.57 shots/match10.3 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Girona FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.4%●PossessionGirona FC · Valencia47.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGirona FCValenciaBaseline
Possession57.4%47.3%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Girona FC
0Draws
2Valencia
Valencia — Girona FC · La Liga2–0
Valencia — Girona FC · La Liga1–3
Girona FC — Valencia · La Liga2–1
Girona FC — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Valencia — Girona FC · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Girona FC favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 0 · 7 too close

1.29 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 28/281.11 goals/match
1.46 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 28/281.64 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 28/281.13 xG/match
1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 28/281.44 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/2810.3 shots/match
11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/2810.9 shots/match
3.75 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 28/283.11 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/283.79 shots/match
57.4%●Possessionseason · 28/2847.3%
5.18 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/28●5.32 corners/match
3.86 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 28/284.79 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2811.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
21%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2818%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2871%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona FC87.5
Valencia37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona FC46.7
Valencia25.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona FC45
Valencia42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona FC7.5
Valencia32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona FC17.5
Valencia27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona FC67.5
Valencia77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona FC40.6
Valencia36.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Girona FC28 matchesValencia28 matches
1.29 goals/match▲Goals scored28/281.11 goals/match
1.46 goals/match▲Goals allowed28/281.64 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals28/281.13 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots28/2810.3 shots/match
3.75 shots/match▲Shots on target28/283.11 shots/match
57.4%●Possession28/2847.3%
5.18 corners/matchCorners28/28●5.32 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11 fouls/matchFouls28/2811.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Girona FC14 matchesValencia14 matches
1.79 goals/match▲Goals scored14/140.79 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/142 goals/match
1.57 xG/match▲Expected goals14/140.95 xG/match
11.9 shots/match▲Shots14/148.57 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target14/142.29 shots/match
58.3%●Possession14/1446.6%
5.93 corners/match●Corners14/144.14 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGirona FCValencia
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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