PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Atlético Madrid 2–4 Barcelona · La Liga

2–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Barcelona won 2–4.

Shots
713
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.361.26
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barcelona beat Atlético Madrid 4–2. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Barcelona): shots 7–13, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.36–1.26, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Barcelona17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridBarcelonaBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match17 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match8.15 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Madrid's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots13 shotsAtlético Madrid 7 shots, Barcelona 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsAtlético Madrid 2 shots, Barcelona 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG1.26 xGAtlético Madrid 1.36 xG, Barcelona 1.26 xG
  • Possession34%66%Atlético Madrid 34%, Barcelona 66%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersAtlético Madrid 6 corners, Barcelona 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsAtlético Madrid 10 fouls, Barcelona 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Raphinha · Barcelona · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGiuliano Simeone · Atlético Madrid · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalJules Koundé · Barcelona · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 14′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 72′ · 0.08 xG · goalClément Lenglet · Atlético Madrid · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 5′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 59′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 78′ · 0.28 xG · goalAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 70′ · 0.48 xG · goalJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.43 xG. Barcelona: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 45′Alexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 70′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 72′Ferran Torres · Barcelona · 78′Lamine Yamal · Barcelona · 90′Ferran Torres · Barcelona · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 1.43 xG · Barcelona 1.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlético Madrid
0Draws
4Barcelona
Barcelona — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–2
Atlético Madrid — Barcelona · La Liga0–3
Barcelona — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–0
Barcelona — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–0
Atlético Madrid — Barcelona · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Barcelona in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid28 matchesBarcelona27 matches
1.64 goals/matchGoals scored28/27▲ 2.78 goals/match
0.79 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/271 goal/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals28/27▲ 2.43 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots28/27▲ 17 shots/match
4.32 shots/matchShots on target28/27▲ 6.56 shots/match
51%Possession28/27● 67.7%
4.75 corners/matchCorners28/27● 6.48 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls28/279.15 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 17 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridBarcelona
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headAtlético Madrid — Barcelona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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