PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Las Palmas 1–3 Real Sociedad · La Liga

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Sociedad won 1–3.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
1.972.5
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Sociedad beat Las Palmas 3–1. Recorded in this match (Las Palmas – Real Sociedad): shots 13–13, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 1.97–2.5, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Las Palmas have a visible home split

strong

Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match10.8 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Sociedad show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLas Palmas · Real Sociedad10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasReal SociedadBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match10.2 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsLas Palmas 13 shots, Real Sociedad 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsLas Palmas 5 shots, Real Sociedad 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.97 xG2.5 xGLas Palmas 1.97 xG, Real Sociedad 2.5 xG
  • Possession52%48%Las Palmas 52%, Real Sociedad 48%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersLas Palmas 5 corners, Real Sociedad 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsLas Palmas 8 fouls, Real Sociedad 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jon Ander Olasagasti · Real Sociedad · 28′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 36′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnder Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDário Essugo · Las Palmas · 43′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPablo Marín · Real Sociedad · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marín · Real Sociedad · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJon Ander Olasagasti · Real Sociedad · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJuanma Herzog · Las Palmas · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdnan Januzaj · Las Palmas · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJon Aramburu · Real Sociedad · 68′ · 0.07 xG · goalFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnder Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 7′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJon Ander Olasagasti · Real Sociedad · 32′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedOrri Óskarsson · Real Sociedad · 79′ · 0.16 xG · on targetFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedOrri Óskarsson · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Las Palmas · 3′ · 0.36 xG · on targetPablo Marín · Real Sociedad · 67′ · 0.41 xG · on targetSergio Gómez · Real Sociedad · 56′ · 0.50 xG · goalMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 5′ · 0.77 xG · goalOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 61′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.91 xG. Real Sociedad: 13 shots, 8 on target, 2.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Oli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 61′Mikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 5′Sergio Gómez · Real Sociedad · 56′Jon Aramburu · Real Sociedad · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 1.91 xG · Real Sociedad 2.45 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Las Palmas
2Draws
1Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad — Las Palmas · La Liga0–0
Real Sociedad — Las Palmas · La Liga2–0
Las Palmas — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Las Palmas favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Las Palmas30 matchesReal Sociedad30 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301 goal/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.07 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 1.11 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots30/3010.2 shots/match
3.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.47 shots/match
50.3%Possession30/30● 54.4%
3.9 corners/matchCorners30/30● 5.37 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLas PalmasReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headLas Palmas — Real Sociedad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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