La Liga · 2024Sat, 12 Apr 2025, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadMallorca
Shots15 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals0.73 xG/match0.47 xG/match
Possession65%35%
Corners8 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jon Martin · Real Sociedad · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArkaitz Mariezkurrena · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Raíllo · Mallorca · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPablo Marín · Real Sociedad · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAihen Muñoz · Real Sociedad · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJon Martin · Real Sociedad · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAritz Elustondo · Real Sociedad · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sánchez · Mallorca · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartin Valjent · Mallorca · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 47′ · 0.04 xG · goalPablo Marín · Real Sociedad · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJon Martin · Real Sociedad · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sánchez · Mallorca · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMartín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAbdón Prats · Mallorca · 83′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedArkaitz Mariezkurrena · Real Sociedad · 74′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedCyle Larin · Mallorca · 20′ · 0.31 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Sociedad: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.71 xG. Mallorca: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Cyle Larin · Mallorca · 20′Sergi Darder · Mallorca · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 0.71 xG · Mallorca 0.67 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Sociedad have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Sociedad have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.7%PossessionReal Sociedad · Mallorca46.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadMallorcaBaseline
Possession54.7%46.3%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Real Sociedad
1Draws
1Mallorca
MallorcaReal Sociedad · La Liga10
MallorcaReal Sociedad · La Liga12
Real SociedadMallorca · La Liga10
MallorcaReal Sociedad · La Liga11
Real SociedadMallorca · La Liga10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Mallorca in 1 · 7 too close

0.97 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/311 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/311.19 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/311.12 xG/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 31/311.08 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3110.7 shots/match
11.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3113.2 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/313.29 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/313.74 shots/match
54.7%Possessionseason · 31/3146.3%
5.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/314.1 corners/match
4.61 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/315.42 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3111.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
39%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3123%
55%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3168%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad82.5
Mallorca32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad22.5
Mallorca30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad60.8
Mallorca49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad7.5
Mallorca47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad67.5
Mallorca30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad87.5
Mallorca32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad52.5
Mallorca33.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad31 matchesMallorca31 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored31/311 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.19 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals31/311.12 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots31/3110.7 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on target31/313.29 shots/match
54.7%Possession31/3146.3%
5.45 corners/matchCorners31/314.1 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.1 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad16 matchesMallorca15 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored16/150.93 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed16/151.27 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals16/151.11 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots16/159.8 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target16/152.93 shots/match
57.8%Possession16/1547.6%
6.13 corners/matchCorners16/153.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1513.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.81 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Real Sociedad vs Mallorca — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath