PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Valencia 1–0 Sevilla · La Liga

1–0Historical match

Sevilla

DWLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia won 1–0.

Shots
812
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.250.81
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia beat Sevilla 1–0. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Sevilla): shots 8–12, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.25–0.81, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsValencia 8 shots, Sevilla 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsValencia 6 shots, Sevilla 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG0.81 xGValencia 1.25 xG, Sevilla 0.81 xG
  • Possession52%48%Valencia 52%, Sevilla 48%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersValencia 3 corners, Sevilla 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls18 foulsValencia 10 fouls, Sevilla 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKike Salas · Sevilla · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Sevilla · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 16′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRafa Mir · Valencia · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Sow · Sevilla · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 49′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCésar Tárrega · Valencia · 86′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJavier Guerra · Valencia · 45′ · 0.09 xG · goalDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 34′ · 0.13 xG · on targetIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Sevilla · 51′ · 0.18 xG · on targetJosé Luis Gayà · Valencia · 36′ · 0.19 xG · on targetHugo Duro · Valencia · 64′ · 0.25 xG · on targetDiego López · Valencia · 64′ · 0.68 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 8 shots, 6 on target, 1.45 xG. Sevilla: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Javier Guerra · Valencia · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.45 xG · Sevilla 0.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Valencia
3Draws
1Sevilla
Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga0–0
Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga1–2
Valencia — Sevilla · La Liga0–2
Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia31 matchesSevilla31 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.1 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.01 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 12.1 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 3.97 shots/match
46.9%Possession31/31● 51.5%
5.16 corners/match ●Corners31/314.97 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Apr 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsValenciaSevilla
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headValencia — Sevilla
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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