PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Deportivo Alavés 0–1 Real Madrid · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 0–1.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
0.60.91
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Deportivo Alavés 1–0. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Alavés – Real Madrid): shots 13–11, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 0.6–0.91, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

weak

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Alavés · Real Madrid16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo AlavésReal MadridBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match16.2 shots/match11.1 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.6%PossessionDeportivo Alavés · Real Madrid● 60.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo AlavésReal MadridBaseline
Possession45.6%60.4%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsDeportivo Alavés 13 shots, Real Madrid 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsDeportivo Alavés 6 shots, Real Madrid 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.6 xG0.91 xGDeportivo Alavés 0.6 xG, Real Madrid 0.91 xG
  • Possession56%44%Deportivo Alavés 56%, Real Madrid 44%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersDeportivo Alavés 4 corners, Real Madrid 4 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls12 foulsDeportivo Alavés 21 fouls, Real Madrid 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arda Güler · Real Madrid · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Blanco · Deportivo Alavés · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Blanco · Deportivo Alavés · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Mouriño · Deportivo Alavés · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarles Aleñá · Deportivo Alavés · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCarlos Vicente · Deportivo Alavés · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedToni Martínez · Deportivo Alavés · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 18′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vázquez · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Martín · Deportivo Alavés · 51′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAbdel Abqar · Deportivo Alavés · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 57′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid · 34′ · 0.08 xG · goalJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 89′ · 0.10 xG · on targetToni Martínez · Deportivo Alavés · 80′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 87′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 9′ · 0.30 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Deportivo Alavés: 13 shots, 6 on target, 0.59 xG. Real Madrid: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.92 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Eduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid · 34′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Deportivo Alavés 0.59 xG · Real Madrid 0.92 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportivo Alavés
0Draws
5Real Madrid
Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–2
Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga5–0
Deportivo Alavés — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1
Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–0
Deportivo Alavés — Real Madrid · La Liga1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Alavés favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés31 matchesReal Madrid31 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 2.06 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1 goal/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 2 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 16.2 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 6.35 shots/match
45.6%Possession31/31● 60.4%
4.58 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.65 corners/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls31/318.97 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo AlavésReal Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headDeportivo Alavés — Real Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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