La Liga · 2024Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 14:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Deportivo Alavés

DWDLW

0–1Full-time recap

Real Madrid

LWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Real Madrid
Shots	13 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.6 xG/match	0.91 xG/match▲
Possession	56%●	44%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	21 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Deportivo Alavés: 13 shots, 6 on target, 0.59 xG. Real Madrid: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.92 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Deportivo Alavés 0.59 xG · Real Madrid 0.92 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Deportivo Alavés's recent record differs from the season

weak

Deportivo Alavés's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.06 goals/match	1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match▲ShotsDeportivo Alavés · Real Madrid16.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Real Madrid	Baseline
Shots	10.7 shots/match	16.2 shots/match	11.1 shots/match
Shots against	10.8 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.6%PossessionDeportivo Alavés · Real Madrid●60.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Deportivo Alavés	Real Madrid	Baseline
Possession	45.6%	60.4%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Deportivo Alavés

0Draws

5Real Madrid

24 Sept 2024Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–2

14 May 2024Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga5–0

21 Dec 2023Deportivo Alavés — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1

19 Feb 2022Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–0

14 Aug 2021Deportivo Alavés — Real Madrid · La Liga1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Deportivo Alavés favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 9 · 4 too close

1.06 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/31▲2.06 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/31▲1 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 31/31▲2 xG/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 31/31▲1.09 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/31▲16.2 shots/match

10.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3110.5 shots/match

3.68 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/31▲6.35 shots/match

3.81 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/31▲3.26 shots/match

45.6%Possessionseason · 31/31●60.4%

4.58 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/31●5.65 corners/match

4.39 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/314.35 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/318.97 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/31▲35%

65%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/31▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Deportivo Alavés27.5

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Deportivo Alavés36.7

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Deportivo Alavés49.2

Real Madrid75.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Deportivo Alavés57.5

Real Madrid82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés97.5

Real Madrid2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés42.5

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Deportivo Alavés55.6

Real Madrid70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés31 matchesReal Madrid31 matches

1.06 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲2.06 goals/match

1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲1 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲2 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots31/31▲16.2 shots/match

3.68 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲6.35 shots/match

45.6%Possession31/31●60.4%

4.58 corners/matchCorners31/31●5.65 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.5 fouls/matchFouls31/318.97 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Deportivo Alavés15 matchesReal Madrid16 matches

0.73 goals/matchGoals scored15/16▲1.69 goals/match

1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed15/16▲0.94 goals/match

1.1 xG/matchExpected goals15/16▲1.48 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShots15/16▲14.3 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target15/16▲5.38 shots/match

48%Possession15/16●59.2%

5.8 corners/match●Corners15/164.38 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.9 fouls/matchFouls15/169.06 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4