La Liga · 2024

Celta Vigo 1–2 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano won 1–2.

Shots
247
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.641.03
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano beat Celta Vigo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Rayo Vallecano): shots 24–7, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.64–1.03, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Rayo Vallecano.

4.96 days ▲Rest daysCelta Vigo · Rayo Vallecano3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCelta VigoRayo VallecanoBaseline
Rest days4.96 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots7 shotsCelta Vigo 24 shots, Rayo Vallecano 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsCelta Vigo 7 shots, Rayo Vallecano 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.64 xG1.03 xGCelta Vigo 2.64 xG, Rayo Vallecano 1.03 xG
  • Possession62%38%Celta Vigo 62%, Rayo Vallecano 38%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersCelta Vigo 9 corners, Rayo Vallecano 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls17 foulsCelta Vigo 10 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mihailo Ristić · Celta Vigo · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMihailo Ristić · Celta Vigo · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPep Chavarría · Rayo Vallecano · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFer López · Celta Vigo · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 5′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFer López · Celta Vigo · 34′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 47′ · 0.10 xG · on targetWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 51′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFer López · Celta Vigo · 58′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 66′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJavi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.17 xG · on targetPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 47′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 17′ · 0.36 xG · goalFer López · Celta Vigo · 47′ · 0.46 xG · on targetJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.68 xG · goalMarcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 10′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 24 shots, 7 on target, 2.73 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Marcos Alonso · Celta Vigo · 10′Isi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 17′Jorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 2.73 xG · Rayo Vallecano 1.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Celta Vigo
3Draws
1Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–1
Celta Vigo — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–0
Rayo Vallecano — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0
Celta Vigo — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–0
Rayo Vallecano — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo37 matchesRayo Vallecano37 matches
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored37/371.11 goals/match
1.51 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals37/371.18 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots37/37▲ 13.2 shots/match
4.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target37/374.27 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession37/3751.5%
3.86 corners/matchCorners37/37● 5.16 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls37/3713.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 May 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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