La Liga · 2024Fri, 23 May 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal BetisValencia
Shots14 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals0.91 xG/match0.77 xG/match
Possession47%53%
Corners3 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Cucho Hernández · Real Betis · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndré Almeida · Valencia · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Barrenechea · Valencia · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIsco · Real Betis · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergi Altimira · Real Betis · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIván Jaime · Valencia · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFran Pérez · Valencia · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Rodríguez · Real Betis · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPablo Fornals · Real Betis · 20′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 40′ · 0.10 xG · goalRafa Mir · Valencia · 75′ · 0.12 xG · goalMouctar Diakhaby · Valencia · 86′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 45′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 63′ · 0.34 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.94 xG. Valencia: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Antony · Real Betis · 40′Rafa Mir · Valencia · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 0.94 xG · Valencia 0.74 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Betis, Valencia. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Betis, Valencia.

5.08 daysRest daysReal Betis · Valencia5.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal BetisValenciaBaseline
Rest days5.08 days5.08 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Real Betis
1Draws
2Valencia
ValenciaReal Betis · La Liga42
ValenciaReal Betis · La Liga12
Real BetisValencia · La Liga30
Real BetisValencia · La Liga11
ValenciaReal Betis · La Liga30

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 1 · 5 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 38/381.16 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 38/381.42 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 38/381.14 xG/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 38/381.38 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 38/3810.2 shots/match
11.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/3811.2 shots/match
4.95 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 38/383.29 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/383.89 shots/match
52.5%Possessionseason · 38/3848.4%
5.18 corners/matchCornersseason · 38/384.89 corners/match
4.26 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/385 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3811.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/3821%
87%Scoring frequencyseason · 38/3874%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis72.5
Valencia42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis80.8
Valencia30.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis57.5
Valencia44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis82.5
Valencia17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis17.5
Valencia27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis82.5
Valencia62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis67.5
Valencia32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Betis38 matchesValencia38 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored38/381.16 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed38/381.42 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals38/381.14 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots38/3810.2 shots/match
4.95 shots/matchShots on target38/383.29 shots/match
52.5%Possession38/3848.4%
5.18 corners/matchCorners38/384.89 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls38/3811.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Betis19 matchesValencia19 matches
1.68 goals/matchGoals scored19/190.95 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.79 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals19/190.98 xG/match
15.9 shots/matchShots19/198.89 shots/match
5.32 shots/matchShots on target19/192.47 shots/match
55.5%Possession19/1946.8%
5.42 corners/matchCorners19/193.95 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.08 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match