PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 24 May 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRayo VallecanoMallorca
Shots27 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals2.11 xG/match▲0.66 xG/match
Possession57%●43%
Corners11 corners/match●2 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Unai López · Rayo Vallecano · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJohan Mojica · Mallorca · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamú Costa · Mallorca · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sánchez · Mallorca · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergi Darder · Mallorca · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 31′ · 0.06 xG · on targetÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 67′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 77′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Rayo Vallecano · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 21′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 22′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 42′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 30′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.18 xG · on targetCyle Larin · Mallorca · 76′ · 0.18 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 77′ · 0.18 xG · on targetJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 81′ · 0.23 xG · on targetMarc Domenech · Mallorca · 47′ · 0.25 xG · on targetJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 63′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 27 shots, 8 on target, 2.27 xG. Mallorca: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 2.27 xG · Mallorca 0.63 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Rayo Vallecano's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Mallorca10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoMallorcaBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match14.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rayo Vallecano's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible home split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Rayo Vallecano
1Draws
4Mallorca
Mallorca — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0
Mallorca — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1
Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca · La Liga2–2
Mallorca — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–0
Rayo Vallecano — Mallorca · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Rayo Vallecano favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Mallorca in 0 · 4 too close

1.08 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 38/380.92 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 38/381.16 goals/match
1.21 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 38/381.03 xG/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 38/381.26 xG/match
13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 38/3810.2 shots/match
12.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 38/3814.9 shots/match
4.37 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 38/382.97 shots/match
4.13 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 38/384.39 shots/match
51.7%●Possessionseason · 38/3846.6%
5.32 corners/match●Cornersseason · 38/383.82 corners/match
5.03 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 38/386.34 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3812.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
26%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/3824%
76%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 38/3863%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rayo Vallecano62.5
Mallorca32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rayo Vallecano62.5
Mallorca16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rayo Vallecano47.5
Mallorca35.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rayo Vallecano77.5
Mallorca32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano87.5
Mallorca52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano82.5
Mallorca12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rayo Vallecano78.8
Mallorca25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano38 matchesMallorca38 matches
1.08 goals/match▲Goals scored38/380.92 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed38/381.16 goals/match
1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals38/381.03 xG/match
13.6 shots/match▲Shots38/3810.2 shots/match
4.37 shots/match▲Shots on target38/382.97 shots/match
51.7%●Possession38/3846.6%
5.32 corners/match●Corners38/383.82 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.7 fouls/matchFouls38/3812.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Rayo Vallecano19 matchesMallorca19 matches
1.26 goals/match▲Goals scored19/190.79 goals/match
1.37 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.21 goals/match
1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals19/190.98 xG/match
15.7 shots/match▲Shots19/199.11 shots/match
5.58 shots/match▲Shots on target19/192.58 shots/match
55.1%●Possession19/1945.3%
5.74 corners/match●Corners19/193 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.08 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsRayo VallecanoMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath