PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Kholood 3–1 Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Kholood won 3–1.

Shots
415
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.151.39
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Kholood beat Al-Ahli 3–1. Recorded in this match (Al-Kholood – Al-Ahli): shots 4–15, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.15–1.39, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Kholood.

2.92 days ▲Rest daysAl-Kholood · Al-Ahli6.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-KholoodAl-AhliBaseline
Rest days2.92 days6.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Al-Kholood show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Al-Kholood's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Kholood · Al-Ahli15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-KholoodAl-AhliBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.8 fouls/matchFoulsAl-Kholood · Al-Ahli13 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAl-KholoodAl-AhliBaseline
Fouls14.8 fouls/match13 fouls/match11.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots15 shotsAl-Kholood 4 shots, Al-Ahli 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsAl-Kholood 3 shots, Al-Ahli 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG1.39 xGAl-Kholood 1.15 xG, Al-Ahli 1.39 xG
  • Possession31%69%Al-Kholood 31%, Al-Ahli 69%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersAl-Kholood 1 corner, Al-Ahli 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls10 foulsAl-Kholood 17 fouls, Al-Ahli 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardAl-Kholood 2 cards, Al-Ahli 1 card
  • Passes250 passes534 passesAl-Kholood 250 passes, Al-Ahli 534 passes
  • Pass accuracy74.8%86%Al-Kholood 74.8%, Al-Ahli 86%
  • Shots inside box3 shots11 shotsAl-Kholood 3 shots, Al-Ahli 11 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block5 blocksAl-Kholood 1 block, Al-Ahli 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves0 savesAl-Kholood 2 saves, Al-Ahli 0 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideAl-Kholood 4 offsides, Al-Ahli 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 32′Iker KortajarenaGoal · Al-Kholood
  2. 35′Hamed Al-ShanqityYellow card · Al-Kholood
  3. 43′Ivan ToneyYellow card · Al-Ahli
  4. Half-time
  5. 66′Ivan ToneyGoal · Al-Ahli
  6. 76′Mansour CamaraYellow card · Al-Kholood
  7. 85′Julien DominguesGoal · Al-Kholood
  8. 90′Muhammad SawanGoal · Al-Kholood
  9. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeMohammed Abdulrahman
  • 64′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeSaleh Abu Al-Shamat
  • 65′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeZakaria Hawsawi
  • 73′Al-Kholood · 1 player changeAbdulrahman Al-Dosari
  • 79′Al-Kholood · 1 player changeMuhammad Sawan
  • 87′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeAbdullah Radif
  • 90′Al-Kholood · 1 player changeSultan Al Shehri

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Kholood
0Draws
3Al-Ahli
Al-Ahli — Al-Kholood · Saudi Pro League3–0
Al-Kholood — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League0–1
Al-Ahli — Al-Kholood · Saudi Pro League4–1
Al-Kholood — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Kholood favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Ahli in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Kholood4 matchesAl-Ahli3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored4/32 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/3▲ 1 goal/match
1.67 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.69 xG/match
8.75 shots/matchShots4/3▲ 15.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target4/3▲ 5.67 shots/match
40.8%Possession4/3● 53.7%
2 corners/matchCorners4/3● 3.33 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls4/313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 20:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-KholoodAl-Ahli
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAl-Kholood — Al-Ahli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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