PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Ittihad 2–1 Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Ittihad won 2–1.

Shots
1516
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
1.81.75
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Ittihad beat Al-Nassr 2–1. Recorded in this match (Al-Ittihad – Al-Nassr): shots 15–16, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 1.8–1.75, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.6 corners/matchCornersAl-Ittihad · Al-Nassr● 9 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAl-IttihadAl-NassrBaseline
Corners4.6 corners/match9 corners/match3.68 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Al-Nassr show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Nassr's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Ittihad · Al-Nassr16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-IttihadAl-NassrBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots16 shotsAl-Ittihad 15 shots, Al-Nassr 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsAl-Ittihad 3 shots, Al-Nassr 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.8 xG1.75 xGAl-Ittihad 1.8 xG, Al-Nassr 1.75 xG
  • Possession46%54%Al-Ittihad 46%, Al-Nassr 54%
  • Corners3 corners14 cornersAl-Ittihad 3 corners, Al-Nassr 14 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsAl-Ittihad 8 fouls, Al-Nassr 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsAl-Ittihad 2 cards, Al-Nassr 4 cards
  • Passes375 passes417 passesAl-Ittihad 375 passes, Al-Nassr 417 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.2%86.3%Al-Ittihad 79.2%, Al-Nassr 86.3%
  • Shots inside box8 shots12 shotsAl-Ittihad 8 shots, Al-Nassr 12 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks5 blocksAl-Ittihad 3 blocks, Al-Nassr 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves7 saves1 saveAl-Ittihad 7 saves, Al-Nassr 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesAl-Ittihad 2 offsides, Al-Nassr 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 4′George IlenikhenaGoal · Al-Ittihad
  2. 22′George IlenikhenaGoal · Al-Ittihad
  3. 36′ÂngeloGoal · Al-Nassr
  4. Half-time
  5. 53′Dion LopyYellow card · Al-Ittihad
  6. 55′Samú CostaYellow card · Al-Nassr
  7. 69′João FélixYellow card · Al-Nassr
  8. 79′Abdullah Al-KhaibariYellow card · Al-Nassr
  9. 90′Abdulelah Al-AmriYellow card · Al-Nassr
  10. 90′Youssef En-NesyriYellow card · Al-Ittihad
  11. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Al-Ittihad · 1 player changeRichard Ríos
  • 53′Al-Ittihad · 1 player changeMuhannad Shanqeeti
  • 60′Al-Nassr · 2 player changesSaad Al-Nasser · Ayman Yahya
  • 67′Al-Ittihad · 2 player changesMarwan Al-Sahafi · Youssef En-Nesyri
  • 78′Al-Nassr · 2 player changesAbdullah Al-Khaibari · Abdullah Al-Hamdan
  • 82′Al-Ittihad · 1 player changeRakan Kaabi

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Al-Ittihad
  1. Predrag RajkovićG
  2. Danilo PereiraD
  3. Hassan KadeshD
  4. Faris AbdiD
  5. Ahmed Al-JulaydanD
  6. Mukhtar AliM
  7. Houssem AouarM
  8. Ahmed Al-GhamdiM
  9. Dion LopyM
  10. George IlenikhenaF
  11. Steven BergwijnF
Al-Nassr
  1. Nawaf Al-AqidiG
  2. Mohamed SimakanD
  3. Abdulelah Al-AmriD
  4. Nawaf BoushalD
  5. Salem AlnajdiD
  6. Sadio ManéM
  7. Samú CostaM
  8. ÂngeloM
  9. Kingsley ComanM
  10. Cristiano RonaldoF
  11. João FélixF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Al-Ittihad
0Draws
2Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr — Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League2–0
Al-Nassr — Al-Ittihad · King's Cup1–2
Al-Ittihad — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League0–2
Al-Nassr — Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League2–3
Al-Ittihad — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Ittihad favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Nassr in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Ittihad5 matchesAl-Nassr5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51 goal/match
2.04 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.8 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 16.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 7.2 shots/match
49.2%Possession5/5● 53.8%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/5● 9 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-IttihadAl-Nassr
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAl-Ittihad — Al-Nassr
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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