PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

FC Alverca 1–2 Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sporting Braga won 1–2.

Shots
616
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.082.27
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting Braga beat FC Alverca 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Alverca – Sporting Braga): shots 6–16, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.08–2.27, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Alverca show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Alverca's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Alverca · Sporting Braga12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC AlvercaSporting BragaBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.7 shots/match10.4 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Sporting Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%PossessionFC Alverca · Sporting Braga● 62%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC AlvercaSporting BragaBaseline
Possession43%62%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

FC Alverca have a visible home split

weak

FC Alverca's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match10 shots/match10.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots16 shotsFC Alverca 6 shots, Sporting Braga 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsFC Alverca 2 shots, Sporting Braga 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG2.27 xGFC Alverca 1.08 xG, Sporting Braga 2.27 xG
  • Possession32%68%FC Alverca 32%, Sporting Braga 68%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersFC Alverca 2 corners, Sporting Braga 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsFC Alverca 11 fouls, Sporting Braga 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsFC Alverca 1 card, Sporting Braga 4 cards
  • Passes309 passes691 passesFC Alverca 309 passes, Sporting Braga 691 passes
  • Pass accuracy72.2%89.3%FC Alverca 72.2%, Sporting Braga 89.3%
  • Shots inside box3 shots8 shotsFC Alverca 3 shots, Sporting Braga 8 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksFC Alverca 2 blocks, Sporting Braga 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves1 saveFC Alverca 4 saves, Sporting Braga 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesFC Alverca 2 offsides, Sporting Braga 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 27′ChiquinhoPenalty goal · FC Alverca
  2. 40′Adrian BajramiYellow card · Sporting Braga
  3. 45′Ian LuccasYellow card · FC Alverca
  4. Half-time
  5. 50′Pau VíctorGoal · Sporting Braga
  6. 57′Pau VíctorGoal · Sporting Braga
  7. 66′Pau VíctorYellow card · Sporting Braga
  8. 87′Gabriel MartínezYellow card · Sporting Braga
  9. 90′Gustaf LagerbielkeYellow card · Sporting Braga
  10. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Sporting Braga · 3 player changesGabriel Martínez · Fran Navarro · Sergio Barcia
  • 53′FC Alverca · 2 player changesDavy Gui · Dawda Camara
  • 64′Sporting Braga · 1 player changeTomás Marqués
  • 71′FC Alverca · 2 player changesAndré Vidigal · Zakaria Kassary
  • 83′Sporting Braga · 1 player changeJovan Milošević
  • 83′FC Alverca · 1 player changeCédric Nuozzi

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

FC Alverca
  1. Matheus MendesG
  2. Yaya BojangD
  3. Isaac JamesD
  4. Steven BaseyaD
  5. Sergi GómezD
  6. Toni TamaritD
  7. Ian LuccasM
  8. Rayan LucasM
  9. VivaldoF
  10. ChiquinhoF
  11. FigueiredoF
Sporting Braga
  1. Bernardo FontesG
  2. Victor GómezD
  3. Vítor CarvalhoD
  4. Diogo TravassosD
  5. Gustaf LagerbielkeD
  6. Adrian BajramiD
  7. João MoutinhoM
  8. Demir Ege TıknazM
  9. Pau VíctorF
  10. Mario DorgelesF
  11. Diego RodriguesF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Alverca
0Draws
2Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga — FC Alverca · Primeira Liga5–0
FC Alverca — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Alverca favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Sporting Braga in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Alverca5 matchesSporting Braga3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/3▲ 1 goal/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals5/3▲ 1.53 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots5/3▲ 12.7 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/3▲ 4.67 shots/match
43%Possession5/3● 62%
5.4 corners/match ●Corners5/32 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/315.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AlvercaSporting Braga
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headFC Alverca — Sporting Braga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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