PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

Sporting 2–0 CD Nacional · Primeira Liga

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 2–0.

Shots
193
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
30.08
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting beat CD Nacional 2–0. Recorded in this match (Sporting – CD Nacional): shots 19–3, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 3–0.08, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CD Nacional have a visible away split

weak

CD Nacional's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.67 shots/match10 shots/match10.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sporting show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sporting's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSporting · CD Nacional10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSportingCD NacionalBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10 shots/match10.4 shots/match
Shots against8 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sporting have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.8% ●PossessionSporting · CD Nacional48.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSportingCD NacionalBaseline
Possession59.8%48.8%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots3 shotsSporting 19 shots, CD Nacional 3 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsSporting 8 shots, CD Nacional 2 shots
  • Expected goals3 xG0.08 xGSporting 3 xG, CD Nacional 0.08 xG
  • Possession67%33%Sporting 67%, CD Nacional 33%
  • Corners12 corners0 cornersSporting 12 corners, CD Nacional 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls7 foulsSporting 10 fouls, CD Nacional 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardSporting 2 cards, CD Nacional 1 card
  • Passes655 passes318 passesSporting 655 passes, CD Nacional 318 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.9%80.2%Sporting 88.9%, CD Nacional 80.2%
  • Shots inside box10 shots0 shotsSporting 10 shots, CD Nacional 0 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockSporting 1 block, CD Nacional 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves6 savesSporting 2 saves, CD Nacional 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesSporting 1 offside, CD Nacional 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 5′Maximiliano AraújoYellow card · Sporting
  2. 20′Sergi AltimiraYellow card · Sporting
  3. 32′Luis Javier SuárezPenalty goal · Sporting
  4. Half-time
  5. 48′Markus JensenYellow card · CD Nacional
  6. 49′Flávio GonçalvesGoal · Sporting
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′CD Nacional · 1 player changeDeivison Souza Brito
  • 62′CD Nacional · 2 player changesChiheb Labidi · Allen Obando
  • 67′Sporting · 3 player changesLuís Guilherme · Fotis Ioannidis · Nestory Irankunda
  • 73′CD Nacional · 1 player changeMatchoi Djaló
  • 78′Sporting · 1 player changeGeorgios Vagiannidis
  • 80′CD Nacional · 1 player changeDaniel Júnior
  • 87′Sporting · 1 player changeSilas Andersen

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Sporting
  1. Rui SilvaG
  2. Zeno DebastD
  3. Maximiliano AraújoD
  4. Iván FresnedaD
  5. Gonçalo InácioD
  6. Sergi AltimiraM
  7. Rodrigo ZalazarM
  8. Issa DoumbiaM
  9. Geny CatamoF
  10. Flávio GonçalvesF
  11. Luis Javier SuárezF
CD Nacional
  1. Renato MarinG
  2. Williams KokoloD
  3. Francisco GonçalvesD
  4. Léo SantosD
  5. Ze VitorD
  6. Wesley GasolinaD
  7. Matheus DiasM
  8. Miguel BaezaM
  9. Markus JensenF
  10. Stavros GavrielF
  11. Pablo Messias CardozoF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Sporting
0Draws
0CD Nacional
Sporting — CD Nacional · Primeira Liga2–1
CD Nacional — Sporting · Primeira Liga1–4
Sporting — CD Nacional · Primeira Liga2–0
CD Nacional — Sporting · Primeira Liga1–6

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · CD Nacional in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting5 matchesCD Nacional5 matches
2.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
2.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.93 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/510 shots/match
6.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
59.8% ●Possession5/548.8%
5.4 corners/match ●Corners5/53.6 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSportingCD Nacional
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headSporting — CD Nacional
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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