PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

CF Estrela Amadora 2–2 Famalicão · Primeira Liga

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CF Estrela Amadora and Famalicão drew 2–2.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.941.8
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

CF Estrela Amadora and Famalicão drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (CF Estrela Amadora – Famalicão): shots 14–14, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.94–1.8, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Famalicão have recorded the higher season possession share.

47%PossessionCF Estrela Amadora · Famalicão● 60%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCF Estrela AmadoraFamalicãoBaseline
Possession47%60%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 14 shots, Famalicão 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 4 shots, Famalicão 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG1.8 xGCF Estrela Amadora 0.94 xG, Famalicão 1.8 xG
  • Possession41%59%CF Estrela Amadora 41%, Famalicão 59%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersCF Estrela Amadora 5 corners, Famalicão 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsCF Estrela Amadora 11 fouls, Famalicão 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsCF Estrela Amadora 3 cards, Famalicão 2 cards
  • Passes300 passes445 passesCF Estrela Amadora 300 passes, Famalicão 445 passes
  • Pass accuracy81%85.8%CF Estrela Amadora 81%, Famalicão 85.8%
  • Shots inside box10 shots6 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 10 shots, Famalicão 6 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksCF Estrela Amadora 3 blocks, Famalicão 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesCF Estrela Amadora 2 saves, Famalicão 2 saves

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 2′Georgios KoutsiasGoal · Famalicão
  2. 29′Max ScholzeYellow card · CF Estrela Amadora
  3. Half-time
  4. 53′RobinhoYellow card · CF Estrela Amadora
  5. 57′Leandro AntonettiGoal · CF Estrela Amadora
  6. 66′Marcos PeñaYellow card · Famalicão
  7. 69′Max ScholzeGoal · CF Estrela Amadora
  8. 80′Georgios KoutsiasPenalty goal · Famalicão
  9. 90′Leny MeyerYellow card · Famalicão
  10. 90′David GriloYellow card · CF Estrela Amadora
  11. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 32′CF Estrela Amadora · 1 player changeRobinho
  • 46′CF Estrela Amadora · 1 player changeBénito
  • 68′Famalicão · 2 player changesGil Dias · Pedro Santos
  • 74′Famalicão · 2 player changesLeny Meyer · Óscar Aranda
  • 81′CF Estrela Amadora · 1 player changeJefferson Encada
  • 83′Famalicão · 1 player changeUmar Abubakar
  • 89′CF Estrela Amadora · 2 player changesJoan Jordán · Alisson Souza de Jesus

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

CF Estrela Amadora
  1. Léo LinckG
  2. Stefan LekovićD
  3. Max ScholzeD
  4. Luan PatrickD
  5. Rafa SoaresD
  6. Lovro ZvonarekM
  7. Eddy DouéM
  8. Emerson Pedro VangaM
  9. Ianis StoicaF
  10. Leandro AntonettiF
  11. Abraham MarcusF
Famalicão
  1. Lazar CarevićG
  2. Léo RealpeD
  3. Finn van BreemenD
  4. Rodrigo PinheiroD
  5. Pedro BondoD
  6. Marcos PeñaM
  7. Mathias De AmorimM
  8. Paulo MoreiraM
  9. SorrisoF
  10. Romeo BeneyF
  11. Georgios KoutsiasF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CF Estrela Amadora
3Draws
1Famalicão
CF Estrela Amadora — Famalicão · Primeira Liga0–0
Famalicão — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga2–3
Famalicão — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga0–0
CF Estrela Amadora — Famalicão · Primeira Liga0–3
Famalicão — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CF Estrela Amadora favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Famalicão in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CF Estrela Amadora4 matchesFamalicão5 matches
2.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/50.8 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/51.03 xG/match
11.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/510 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/53 shots/match
47%Possession4/5● 60%
3.25 corners/matchCorners4/5● 6.2 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/511.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCF Estrela AmadoraFamalicão
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headCF Estrela Amadora — Famalicão
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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