Willem II Tilburg
Eredivisie · 2026Willem II Tilburg 1–4 NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
NEC Nijmegen won 1–4.
- Shots
- 9–21
- Shots on target
- 2–10
- Expected goals
- 1.51–2.99
- Possession
- 32%–68%
Full time
What the match recorded
NEC Nijmegen beat Willem II Tilburg 4–1. Recorded in this match (Willem II Tilburg – NEC Nijmegen): shots 9–21, shots on target 2–10, expected goals 1.51–2.99, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Willem II Tilburg: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.55 xG. NEC Nijmegen: 20 shots, 9 on target, 2.05 xG. · 1 unplaced
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Willem II Tilburg 1.55 xG · NEC Nijmegen 2.05 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Current season so far
Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.
- Willem II Tilburg1 matches
- NEC Nijmegen1 matches
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Willem II Tilburg
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 6 matches
- Profile grade
- B
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.33 goals/match
- Goals allowed0.67 goals/match
- Shots9.67 shots/match
- Shots allowed15 shots/match
- Shots on target3.5 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed3.17 shots/match
- Possession43%
- Corners3.33 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.5 corners/match
- Fouls11 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency50%
- Scoring frequency100%
NEC Nijmegen
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 34 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored2.26 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.56 goals/match
- Expected goals1.83 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.42 xG/match
- Shots17 shots/match
- Shots allowed11.2 shots/match
- Shots on target6.76 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.97 shots/match
- Possession56.6%
- Corners6.12 corners/match
- Corners allowed3.97 corners/match
- Fouls11.8 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency15%
- Scoring frequency97%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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