Eredivisie · 2026

Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 1–2.

Shots
520
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
0.322.21
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat Excelsior 2–1. Recorded in this match (Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven): shots 5–20, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 0.32–2.21, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots20 shotsExcelsior 5 shots, PSV Eindhoven 20 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsExcelsior 2 shots, PSV Eindhoven 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.32 xG2.21 xGExcelsior 0.32 xG, PSV Eindhoven 2.21 xG
  • Possession41%59%Excelsior 41%, PSV Eindhoven 59%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersExcelsior 1 corner, PSV Eindhoven 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls3 foulsExcelsior 9 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 3 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsExcelsior 1 card, PSV Eindhoven 0 cards
  • Passes427 passes607 passesExcelsior 427 passes, PSV Eindhoven 607 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.4%87.2%Excelsior 79.4%, PSV Eindhoven 87.2%
  • Shots inside box3 shots16 shotsExcelsior 3 shots, PSV Eindhoven 16 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block5 blocksExcelsior 1 block, PSV Eindhoven 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves1 saveExcelsior 6 saves, PSV Eindhoven 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideExcelsior 1 offside, PSV Eindhoven 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Irakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCasper Widell · Excelsior · 54′ · 0.03 xG · goalSven Mijnans · PSV Eindhoven · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKodai Sano · PSV Eindhoven · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIrakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 72′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 36′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 63′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAmir Bouhamdi · PSV Eindhoven · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 60′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAymen Sliti · Excelsior · 2′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 64′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 74′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAmir Bouhamdi · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNesto Groen · Excelsior · 80′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 52′ · 0.17 xG · on targetKodai Sano · PSV Eindhoven · 76′ · 0.17 xG · on targetRuben van Bommel · PSV Eindhoven · 5′ · 0.18 xG · goalDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 81′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 56′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Excelsior: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.33 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 20 shots, 8 on target, 2.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Casper Widell · Excelsior · 54′Ruben van Bommel · PSV Eindhoven · 5′Ricardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Excelsior 0.33 xG · PSV Eindhoven 2.18 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Excelsior
0Draws
5PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — Excelsior · Eredivisie5–1
Excelsior — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–2
Excelsior — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie0–2
PSV Eindhoven — Excelsior · Eredivisie3–1
PSV Eindhoven — Excelsior · Eredivisie4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Excelsior1 matches
  • PSV Eindhoven1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Excelsior

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.26 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.65 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.32 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.75 xG/match
  • Shots12.5 shots/match
  • Shots allowed14.7 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.29 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.53 shots/match
  • Possession47.6%
  • Corners4.09 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.24 corners/match
  • Fouls12.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency18%
  • Scoring frequency79%

PSV Eindhoven

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.97 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.32 goals/match
  • Expected goals2.09 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.17 xG/match
  • Shots17.5 shots/match
  • Shots allowed11.7 shots/match
  • Shots on target7.29 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.09 shots/match
  • Possession60.8%
  • Corners7.15 corners/match
  • Corners allowed4.41 corners/match
  • Fouls10.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency21%
  • Scoring frequency97%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4