Eredivisie · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
31Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFortuna SittardSC Cambuur
Shots17 shots19 shots
Shots on target7 shots7 shots
Expected goals1.59 xG2.53 xG
Possession36%64%
Corners6 corners7 corners
Fouls10 fouls9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Philip Brittijn · Fortuna Sittard · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Jetten · SC Cambuur · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSami Bouhoudane · SC Cambuur · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvo Pinto · Fortuna Sittard · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIwan Henstra · SC Cambuur · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlyes Hamache · SC Cambuur · 71′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSami Bouhoudane · SC Cambuur · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJustin Hubner · Fortuna Sittard · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOle Romeny · Fortuna Sittard · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPhilip Brittijn · Fortuna Sittard · 7′ · 0.04 xG · goalJustin Hubner · Fortuna Sittard · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLequincio Zeefuik · Fortuna Sittard · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIwan Henstra · SC Cambuur · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOle Romeny · Fortuna Sittard · 6′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYassin Oukili · Fortuna Sittard · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSami Bouhoudane · SC Cambuur · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Binder · SC Cambuur · 83′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYassin Oukili · Fortuna Sittard · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRafik El Arguioui · SC Cambuur · 61′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSami Bouhoudane · SC Cambuur · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Binder · SC Cambuur · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNicky Souren · SC Cambuur · 26′ · 0.11 xG · on targetIlyes Hamache · SC Cambuur · 66′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRafik El Arguioui · SC Cambuur · 26′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNicky Souren · SC Cambuur · 63′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 35′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLequincio Zeefuik · Fortuna Sittard · 52′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Descotte · Fortuna Sittard · 86′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSami Bouhoudane · SC Cambuur · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLequincio Zeefuik · Fortuna Sittard · 15′ · 0.19 xG · goalSami Bouhoudane · SC Cambuur · 28′ · 0.20 xG · on targetLequincio Zeefuik · Fortuna Sittard · 75′ · 0.23 xG · on targetShiloh 't Zand · Fortuna Sittard · 90′ · 0.30 xG · goalIsmaël Baouf · SC Cambuur · 69′ · 0.42 xG · on targetRafik El Arguioui · SC Cambuur · 22′ · 0.80 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fortuna Sittard: 17 shots, 7 on target, 1.63 xG. SC Cambuur: 19 shots, 7 on target, 2.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Philip Brittijn · Fortuna Sittard · 7′Lequincio Zeefuik · Fortuna Sittard · 15′Shiloh 't Zand · Fortuna Sittard · 90′Rafik El Arguioui · SC Cambuur · 22′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fortuna Sittard 1.63 xG · SC Cambuur 2.56 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortuna Sittard beat SC Cambuur 3–1. Recorded in this match (Fortuna Sittard – SC Cambuur): shots 17–19, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 1.59–2.53, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

2Fortuna Sittard
0Draws
2SC Cambuur
SC CambuurFortuna Sittard · Eredivisie12
Fortuna SittardSC Cambuur · Eredivisie14
SC CambuurFortuna Sittard · Eredivisie21
Fortuna SittardSC Cambuur · Eredivisie10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Fortuna Sittard1 matches
  • SC Cambuur1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Fortuna Sittard

Competition
Eredivisie
Season
2025/26
Sample
34 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.44 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.85 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.21 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.77 xG/match
  • Shots12.7 shots/match
  • Shots allowed14.9 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.44 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.68 shots/match
  • Possession44.8%
  • Corners4.32 corners/match
  • Corners allowed6.76 corners/match
  • Fouls12.3 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency9%
  • Scoring frequency85%

SC Cambuur

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4